Compendium › Rebel Contraire › MARA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MARA
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-09 to present • 15 trades in period

-4.15%
Last Month Return
$6,926.16
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$7,225.62
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-09 06:45:25

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 11.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 11.2

30-Day Momentum

15
-4.0%
30d Return
53%
Win Rate
15
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.0 Conf: 1.00×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,225.62
Current Value
$6,926.16
Period P&L
$-299.52
Max Drawdown
-40.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
8 / 7
Best Trade
+3.23%
Worst Trade
-4.14%
Avg Trade Return
-0.24%
Avg Hold Time
13.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$204,700.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-299.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$-299.52
Gross Return
-4.15%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $7,225.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $9.79 738 $7,225.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:55am ET $9.47 738 $6,985.17 $6,985.83 $-239.85
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 1:15pm ET $10.09 692 $6,978.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $10.35 692 $7,162.13 $7,169.07 +$183.24
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:25pm ET $10.49 683 $7,168.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:35am ET $10.16 683 $6,942.69 $6,943.68 $-225.39
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $10.65 651 $6,933.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $10.91 651 $7,105.66 $7,116.20 +$172.52
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
30m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $11.66 610 $7,115.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $11.30 610 $6,895.26 $6,895.81 $-220.39
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:40am ET $11.44 602 $6,889.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $11.10 602 $6,681.66 $6,687.58 $-208.23
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:20pm ET $11.76 568 $6,680.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:05am ET $12.05 568 $6,844.40 $6,851.39 +$163.81
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:10am ET $11.55 593 $6,846.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 1:55pm ET $11.80 593 $6,994.44 $6,999.64 +$148.25
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:55pm ET $11.23 623 $6,999.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $10.77 623 $6,709.71 $6,709.95 $-289.69
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $10.65 630 $6,709.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:10am ET $10.31 630 $6,492.15 $6,492.60 $-217.35
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:30am ET $11.54 562 $6,485.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:55am ET $11.82 562 $6,645.65 $6,652.77 +$160.17
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
25m held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:30am ET $12.13 548 $6,644.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 12:45pm ET $11.70 548 $6,414.34 $6,422.61 $-230.16
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $11.60 553 $6,417.56 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $11.98 553 $6,624.94 $6,629.99 +$207.38
(+3.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18h held
14 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:05am ET $12.32 538 $6,628.11 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:55am ET $12.60 538 $6,778.75 $6,780.63 +$150.64
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
15 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $12.57 539 $6,777.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 12:45pm ET $12.85 539 $6,923.46 $6,926.16 +$145.53
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,926.16
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,073.84
Total Return: -30.74%
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