Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:11:35

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 8.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 8.6

30-Day Momentum

4
-9.1%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,307.00
Current Value
$9,246.40
Period P&L
$-1,060.66
Max Drawdown
-15.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.06

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+0.16%
Worst Trade
-3.71%
Avg Trade Return
-1.35%
Avg Hold Time
5.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$136,253.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,060.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,060.66
Gross Return
-10.29%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,307.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 12:50pm ET $268.66 37 $9,940.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $268.88 37 $9,948.56 $10,176.45 +$8.14
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $265.36 38 $10,083.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $262.17 38 $9,962.46 $10,055.23 $-121.22
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $265.36 38 $10,083.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $258.80 38 $9,834.59 $9,806.14 $-249.09
(-2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $256.71 38 $9,754.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:30pm ET $253.96 38 $9,650.48 $9,701.64 $-104.50
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $254.18 38 $9,659.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $254.59 38 $9,674.23 $9,716.84 +$15.20
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $250.98 38 $9,537.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:05pm ET $247.91 38 $9,420.58 $9,600.18 $-116.66
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $250.75 38 $9,528.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:50am ET $241.44 38 $9,174.72 $9,246.40 $-353.78
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,246.40
Net Profit/Loss: $-753.60
Total Return: -7.54%
Back to Rebel Contraire