Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-09 08:36:20

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
6.1/25
Win Rate
4.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 16.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 16.7

30-Day Momentum

2
-6.8%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,131.51
Current Value
$10,437.70
Period P&L
$-693.87
Max Drawdown
-15.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.71

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+2.15%
Worst Trade
-3.54%
Avg Trade Return
-1.41%
Avg Hold Time
5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$107,952.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-693.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$-693.87
Gross Return
-6.23%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,131.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:30am ET $307.84 36 $11,082.24
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $304.39 36 $10,958.22 $11,080.63 $-124.02
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:50am ET $302.08 36 $10,874.88
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $308.57 36 $11,108.52 $11,314.27 +$233.64
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:00am ET $308.47 36 $11,104.80
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $297.54 36 $10,711.26 $10,920.73 $-393.54
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET $291.08 37 $10,769.96
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $286.58 37 $10,603.46 $10,754.23 $-166.50
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
5 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:30am ET $284.54 37 $10,527.80
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $275.98 37 $10,211.26 $10,437.70 $-316.53
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,437.70
Net Profit/Loss: +$437.70
Total Return: +4.38%
Back to Rebel Contraire