Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:14:54

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
5.0/25
Win Rate
4.1/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 14.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 14.7

30-Day Momentum

6
-0.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,338.79
Current Value
$9,992.60
Period P&L
$-346.19
Max Drawdown
-15.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+2.80%
Worst Trade
-3.01%
Avg Trade Return
-0.42%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$143,868.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-346.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$-346.19
Gross Return
-3.35%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,338.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 11:30am ET $93.06 110 $10,236.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 11:30am ET $91.64 110 $10,080.40 $10,156.19 $-156.20
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $91.29 111 $10,133.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $93.85 111 $10,417.11 $10,440.11 +$283.92
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $91.29 111 $10,133.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $92.20 111 $10,234.20 $10,541.12 +$101.01
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:35pm ET $94.20 111 $10,456.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $92.43 111 $10,259.18 $10,344.10 $-197.02
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:15pm ET $91.32 113 $10,318.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:40am ET $93.73 113 $10,591.49 $10,617.00 +$272.90
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $94.47 112 $10,580.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $91.65 112 $10,264.80 $10,301.16 $-315.84
(-3.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:25am ET $91.39 112 $10,235.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:05pm ET $88.64 112 $9,927.12 $9,992.60 $-308.56
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,992.60
Net Profit/Loss: $-7.40
Total Return: -0.07%
Back to Rebel Contraire