Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:39:59

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.1/35
Total Return
8.4/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 22.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 22.1

30-Day Momentum

9
-4.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.9 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,361.14
Current Value
$10,933.72
Period P&L
$-427.40
Max Drawdown
-29.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+2.18%
Worst Trade
-4.60%
Avg Trade Return
-0.52%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$178,468.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-427.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-427.40
Gross Return
-3.76%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,361.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 11:35am ET $153.30 74 $11,344.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:00pm ET $156.48 74 $11,579.52 $11,665.27 +$234.95
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 2:25pm ET $153.33 76 $11,653.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $146.27 76 $11,116.52 $11,128.71 $-536.56
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:00pm ET $147.78 75 $11,083.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:40am ET $151.00 75 $11,325.00 $11,370.21 +$241.50
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:55am ET $151.12 75 $11,334.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $148.37 75 $11,127.75 $11,163.96 $-206.25
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $148.38 75 $11,128.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:10am ET $143.87 75 $10,790.25 $10,825.71 $-338.25
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:40am ET $144.34 75 $10,825.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 11:45am ET $147.26 75 $11,044.87 $11,045.46 +$219.75
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 12:25pm ET $146.04 75 $10,953.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:00am ET $149.10 75 $11,182.13 $11,274.59 +$229.13
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:35am ET $152.89 73 $11,160.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:55am ET $148.22 73 $10,820.06 $10,933.72 $-340.87
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,933.72
Net Profit/Loss: +$933.72
Total Return: +9.34%
Back to Rebel Contraire