Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:19:36

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score PRO Scored Sep 24, 2026

77
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Score ≥ 70 + Momentum ≥ 40

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
22.0/25
Win Rate
8.8/15
Profit Factor
5.6/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 77.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 77.2

30-Day Momentum

62
+14.8%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 65.0 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$47,616.06
Current Value
$52,921.67
Period P&L
$5,305.66
Max Drawdown
-42.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
10 / 4
Best Trade
+4.43%
Worst Trade
-4.41%
Avg Trade Return
+0.80%
Avg Hold Time
15.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,349,991.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,305.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,305.66
Gross Return
+11.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $47,616.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:15pm ET $156.91 303 $47,543.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $150.50 303 $45,601.50 $45,673.78 $-1,942.23
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:50am ET $142.86 319 $45,572.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $136.56 319 $43,562.64 $43,664.08 $-2,009.70
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $136.68 319 $43,602.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET $140.23 319 $44,733.37 $44,794.93 +$1,130.85
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 10:55am ET $144.47 310 $44,784.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:40am ET $148.16 310 $45,929.60 $45,940.23 +$1,145.30
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:55am ET $147.20 312 $45,925.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $150.29 312 $46,890.48 $46,905.52 +$965.29
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 2:50pm ET $144.58 324 $46,843.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $148.53 324 $48,123.72 $48,185.32 +$1,279.80
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $143.05 336 $48,064.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $137.68 336 $46,261.55 $46,382.07 $-1,803.25
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:20am ET $134.47 344 $46,257.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $138.09 344 $47,503.99 $47,628.18 +$1,246.11
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET $142.88 333 $47,579.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 12:00pm ET $145.74 333 $48,531.42 $48,580.56 +$952.38
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $142.76 340 $48,538.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:50am ET $146.05 340 $49,656.49 $49,698.65 +$1,118.09
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:05am ET $156.33 317 $49,556.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 11:45am ET $159.66 317 $50,612.22 $50,754.26 +$1,055.61
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 11:50am ET $154.67 328 $50,731.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $161.52 328 $52,980.20 $53,002.70 +$2,248.44
(+4.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:25am ET $181.67 291 $52,865.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:45am ET $187.35 291 $54,518.85 $54,655.58 +$1,652.88
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 10:50am ET $187.85 290 $54,476.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $181.87 290 $52,742.59 $52,921.67 $-1,733.91
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $52,921.67
Net Profit/Loss: +$42,921.67
Total Return: +429.22%
Back to Rebel Contraire