Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:11:58

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.8/35
Total Return
17.2/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 45.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 45.4

30-Day Momentum

50
+11.3%
30d Return
89%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 59.4 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$19,535.39
Current Value
$22,183.85
Period P&L
$2,648.52
Max Drawdown
-32.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.41

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
9 / 1
Best Trade
+4.35%
Worst Trade
-8.23%
Avg Trade Return
+1.37%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$411,819.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,648.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,648.52
Gross Return
+13.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $19,535.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:55pm ET $927.41 21 $19,475.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $967.78 21 $20,323.38 $20,383.10 +$847.77
(+4.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 11:30am ET $937.59 21 $19,689.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 3:50pm ET $956.64 21 $20,089.49 $20,783.21 +$400.11
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 11:30am ET $937.59 21 $19,689.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $947.74 21 $19,902.64 $20,996.48 +$213.27
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:45am ET $999.29 21 $20,985.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $1,037.25 21 $21,782.33 $21,793.64 +$797.16
(+3.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $999.46 21 $20,988.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:50am ET $1,020.13 21 $21,422.73 $22,227.82 +$434.18
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:50am ET $991.28 22 $21,808.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $909.68 22 $20,012.96 $20,432.51 $-1,795.31
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:40am ET $933.80 21 $19,609.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $955.18 21 $20,058.78 $20,881.39 +$448.88
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:25am ET $993.14 21 $20,855.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,014.66 21 $21,307.86 $21,333.31 +$451.92
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:25am ET $1,072.02 19 $20,368.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $1,093.67 19 $20,779.73 $21,744.65 +$411.34
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 12:05pm ET $1,055.73 20 $21,114.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $1,077.69 20 $21,553.90 $22,183.85 +$439.20
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,183.85
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,183.85
Total Return: +121.84%
Back to Rebel Contraire