Compendium › Rebel Contraire › NFLX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NFLX
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 8 trades in period

-0.49%
Last Month Return
$14,808.54
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$14,882.02
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:33:37

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.6/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 37.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 37.0

30-Day Momentum

13
-0.8%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.6 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,882.02
Current Value
$14,808.54
Period P&L
$-73.48
Max Drawdown
-19.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+3.10%
Worst Trade
-3.22%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$236,436.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-73.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$-73.48
Gross Return
-0.49%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,882.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:35am ET $79.93 186 $14,867.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:25am ET $81.57 186 $15,172.02 $15,231.70 +$304.11
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:40am ET $81.94 185 $15,159.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:50am ET $79.45 185 $14,698.25 $14,770.12 $-461.58
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 11:15am ET $81.94 180 $14,750.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:15am ET $82.58 180 $14,865.30 $14,885.32 +$115.20
(+0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 11:15am ET $81.94 180 $14,750.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $82.52 180 $14,853.60 $14,988.82 +$103.50
(+0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $78.97 189 $14,925.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $76.43 189 $14,445.29 $14,508.78 $-480.04
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $76.44 189 $14,447.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $78.81 189 $14,895.09 $14,956.71 +$447.93
(+3.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:10am ET $77.82 192 $14,941.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 11:10am ET $75.39 192 $14,474.88 $14,490.15 $-466.56
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 12:05pm ET $71.46 202 $14,435.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:25am ET $73.04 202 $14,754.32 $14,808.54 +$318.39
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,808.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,808.54
Total Return: +48.09%
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