Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:09:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 8.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 8.3

30-Day Momentum

6
-11.3%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$4,701.76
Current Value
$4,396.94
Period P&L
$-304.82
Max Drawdown
-39.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.44

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+2.92%
Worst Trade
-6.58%
Avg Trade Return
-1.43%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$71,259.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-304.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$-304.82
Gross Return
-6.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $4,701.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 12:35pm ET $4.62 1,107 $5,118.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $4.48 1,107 $4,959.47 $4,801.50 $-158.63
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $4.33 1,108 $4,797.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $4.05 1,108 $4,481.86 $4,485.61 $-315.89
(-6.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:05am ET $3.89 1,151 $4,482.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $3.77 1,151 $4,339.27 $4,342.31 $-143.30
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 10:00am ET $3.76 1,154 $4,338.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $3.84 1,154 $4,431.36 $4,434.75 +$92.44
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $3.71 1,195 $4,433.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 2:40pm ET $3.60 1,195 $4,296.03 $4,297.32 $-137.43
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:40pm ET $3.69 1,163 $4,297.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $3.58 1,163 $4,163.54 $4,163.57 $-133.75
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $3.59 1,159 $4,161.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $3.69 1,159 $4,282.50 $4,285.03 +$121.46
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:35am ET $3.63 1,178 $4,282.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET $3.73 1,178 $4,393.94 $4,396.94 +$111.91
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,396.94
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,603.06
Total Return: -56.03%
Back to Rebel Contraire