Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:21:11

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.4/35
Total Return
11.8/25
Win Rate
5.8/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 25.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 25.5

30-Day Momentum

29
+3.6%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 33.3 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,080.52
Current Value
$11,716.31
Period P&L
$-364.27
Max Drawdown
-37.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+6.58%
Worst Trade
-6.42%
Avg Trade Return
-0.20%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$272,047.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-364.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$-364.27
Gross Return
-3.02%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,080.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $142.61 84 $11,979.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:40am ET $145.51 84 $12,222.84 $12,324.17 +$243.60
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:15am ET $148.46 83 $12,322.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $152.48 83 $12,655.84 $12,657.41 +$333.24
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:55am ET $152.29 83 $12,639.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $144.79 83 $12,017.57 $12,035.32 $-622.09
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:30am ET $144.82 83 $12,020.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $148.74 83 $12,345.01 $12,360.27 +$324.94
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 2:05pm ET $157.40 78 $12,277.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $167.75 78 $13,084.50 $13,167.57 +$807.30
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:15am ET $161.26 81 $13,062.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:55am ET $155.93 81 $12,630.33 $12,735.84 $-431.73
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:55am ET $155.82 81 $12,621.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 12:45pm ET $150.98 81 $12,229.38 $12,343.79 $-392.05
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 1:20pm ET $143.50 86 $12,341.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:10am ET $146.49 86 $12,598.14 $12,600.64 +$256.85
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $150.32 83 $12,476.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:00am ET $145.14 83 $12,046.62 $12,170.29 $-430.35
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 12:00pm ET $148.61 81 $12,037.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET $152.86 81 $12,381.66 $12,514.46 +$344.17
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:15am ET $146.21 85 $12,427.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $136.82 85 $11,629.70 $11,716.31 $-798.15
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,716.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,716.31
Total Return: +17.16%
Back to Rebel Contraire