Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:05:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.2 neutral
20d Trend
-19.0%
5d Trend
-17.2%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.6%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 4, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 20%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
1.4/25
Win Rate
68.4/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
2.1/10
Raw Quality 188.5/100
× Confidence 0.20 = 37.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (20%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,822
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
31 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$1,097.66
Current Value
$1,257.50
Period P&L
$0.00
Max Drawdown
-99.6%
Sharpe Ratio

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
0
Winners / Losers
0 / 0
Best Trade
+43.99%
Worst Trade
-14.61%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$0.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$0.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$0.00
Gross Return
+0.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.00%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

💸 Capital Refund History

When capital drops below $100, the simulation automatically refunds to $10,000 and continues. This ensures continuous data collection even for strategies that experience significant losses.

# Date Capital Before Trades Before Era Fees Paid Reason
1 Dec 19, 2024 $96.57 1,379 $35,516.14 CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED
2 Sep 22, 2025 $94.58 2,291 $9,825.52 CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED

⚠️ Note: This simulation has been refunded 2 times. Total capital invested: $30,000. The return percentage accounts for all refunds.

📚 Strategy Crash History — Learning from Failures

Each "era" below represents a period where the strategy ran until it crashed (capital < $100). Study these to understand how this strategy can fail and what market conditions caused the losses.

💀 Era 1 — CRASHED
Jan 2, 2024 → Dec 19, 2024
Trades
1,379
Win Rate
61.3%
P&L
$-9,903.36
Fees Paid
$35,516.14
Return
-99.0%
Started
$10,000
Crashed At
$96.57
Crash Reason: CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED
💀 Era 2 — CRASHED
Dec 19, 2024 → Sep 22, 2025
Trades
912
Win Rate
59.4%
P&L
$-10,001.86
Fees Paid
$9,825.52
Return
-99.1%
Started
$10,097
Crashed At
$94.58
Crash Reason: CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED

📖 Learning Tip: Look for patterns in the crash history. Did the strategy fail during high volatility? Extended trends? Specific market conditions? Understanding how strategies die helps you know when NOT to use them in real trading.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEPEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 31 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 0 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $1,097.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
Started with: $10,000.00
+ 2 refunds ($20,000)
Total Invested: $30,000.00
Ended with: $1,257.50
Net Profit/Loss: $-28,742.50
Total Return: -95.81%
Back to Rebel Contraire