Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:09:38

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

56
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
20.9/35
Total Return
18.2/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 56.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 55.7

30-Day Momentum

39
+6.8%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 44.6 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$23,748.04
Current Value
$25,502.22
Period P&L
$1,754.17
Max Drawdown
-26.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
6 / 4
Best Trade
+4.87%
Worst Trade
-3.78%
Avg Trade Return
+0.70%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$469,605.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,754.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,754.17
Gross Return
+7.39%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $23,748.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:40pm ET $177.47 134 $23,780.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $170.76 134 $22,881.84 $22,984.92 $-899.14
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:25am ET $185.09 124 $22,950.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:25am ET $184.07 124 $22,824.68 $22,859.06 $-125.86
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:25am ET $169.17 135 $22,837.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $177.41 135 $23,950.35 $23,971.46 +$1,112.40
(+4.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $180.84 132 $23,870.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:55am ET $175.38 132 $23,150.16 $23,251.40 $-720.06
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 11:55am ET $171.19 135 $23,110.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET $165.88 135 $22,393.80 $22,534.55 $-716.85
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:45am ET $165.71 135 $22,370.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $169.72 135 $22,912.20 $23,075.90 +$541.35
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $170.13 135 $22,967.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 12:20pm ET $173.78 135 $23,460.30 $23,568.65 +$492.75
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $173.14 136 $23,547.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:50am ET $177.07 136 $24,082.20 $24,103.81 +$535.16
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 12:15pm ET $175.65 137 $24,064.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:50am ET $179.26 137 $24,557.95 $24,597.71 +$493.90
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:00am ET $182.79 134 $24,493.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET $189.54 134 $25,398.37 $25,502.22 +$904.51
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $25,502.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$15,502.22
Total Return: +155.02%
Back to Rebel Contraire