Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:34:13

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.0/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 38.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 37.9

30-Day Momentum

14
+1.6%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.2 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,062.95
Current Value
$15,029.86
Period P&L
$-33.10
Max Drawdown
-19.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+3.33%
Worst Trade
-3.01%
Avg Trade Return
+0.26%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$207,983.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-33.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$-33.10
Gross Return
-0.22%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.22%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $15,062.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 11:35am ET $188.29 76 $14,310.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $194.57 76 $14,787.32 $15,278.04 +$476.90
(+3.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $191.80 79 $15,152.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:10pm ET $190.20 79 $15,025.41 $15,150.85 $-127.19
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $191.80 79 $15,152.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $188.49 79 $14,890.71 $14,888.97 $-261.88
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:55am ET $184.03 80 $14,722.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:55am ET $183.90 80 $14,712.00 $14,878.54 $-10.43
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 11:55am ET $189.37 78 $14,770.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $193.33 78 $15,079.74 $15,187.42 +$308.88
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:15am ET $194.10 78 $15,140.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $188.26 78 $14,684.67 $14,731.90 $-455.52
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $187.54 78 $14,628.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:25pm ET $191.36 78 $14,926.08 $15,029.86 +$297.96
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,029.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,029.86
Total Return: +50.30%
Back to Rebel Contraire