Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:36:48

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.4/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality 36.0/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 34.3

30-Day Momentum

33
+5.4%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 47.0 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-26 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,765.62
Current Value
$14,164.89
Period P&L
$399.26
Max Drawdown
-19.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.44

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
4 / 1
Best Trade
+2.69%
Worst Trade
-3.96%
Avg Trade Return
+1.11%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$140,375.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$399.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$399.26
Gross Return
+2.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,765.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $177.24 75 $13,293.00
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $181.59 75 $13,619.36 $13,765.63 +$326.36
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:55am ET $179.99 76 $13,679.24
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:50am ET $183.90 76 $13,976.43 $14,062.82 +$297.19
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $178.78 78 $13,944.84
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 11:05am ET $182.66 78 $14,247.48 $14,365.46 +$302.64
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $184.34 77 $14,193.87
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $189.29 77 $14,575.33 $14,746.92 +$381.46
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $186.26 79 $14,714.15
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:50am ET $178.89 79 $14,132.11 $14,164.89 $-582.03
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,164.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,164.89
Total Return: +41.65%
Back to Rebel Contraire