Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:28:37

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 11.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 11.1

30-Day Momentum

6
-3.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,713
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,445.47
Current Value
$8,232.32
Period P&L
$-213.12
Max Drawdown
-42.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+2.06%
Worst Trade
-4.43%
Avg Trade Return
-0.62%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$97,855.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-213.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$-213.12
Gross Return
-2.52%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,445.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:05am ET $838.67 10 $8,386.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $827.85 10 $8,278.50 $8,437.97 $-108.20
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $804.65 10 $8,046.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $816.14 10 $8,161.40 $8,552.87 +$114.90
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:55am ET $833.41 10 $8,334.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 1:55pm ET $850.55 10 $8,505.55 $8,724.37 +$171.50
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 2:00pm ET $844.25 10 $8,442.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $806.85 10 $8,068.50 $8,350.37 $-374.00
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $803.83 10 $8,038.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $789.02 10 $7,890.20 $8,202.27 $-148.10
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $783.66 10 $7,836.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $786.66 10 $7,866.60 $8,232.32 +$30.05
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,232.32
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,767.68
Total Return: -17.68%
Back to Rebel Contraire