Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-07-01 11:58:58

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
11
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.38%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.80
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.7
Storm
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Jul 1, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 11.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 11.1

30-Day Momentum

40
+6.2%
30d Return
73%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 44.6 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+29 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,668
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-01 → 2026-07-01
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,316.80
Current Value
$5,646.81
Period P&L
$329.96
Max Drawdown
-55.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
8 / 3
Best Trade
+4.49%
Worst Trade
-7.10%
Avg Trade Return
+0.61%
Avg Hold Time
23.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$113,437.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$329.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$329.96
Gross Return
+6.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $5,316.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 1:55pm ET $28.72 185 $5,313.20
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 12:35pm ET $27.84 185 $5,150.40 $5,154.05 $-162.80
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 1:10pm ET $27.50 187 $5,142.50
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 2:40pm ET $28.08 187 $5,250.03 $5,261.58 +$107.53
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:40pm ET $27.75 189 $5,243.81
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $25.77 189 $4,871.36 $4,889.14 $-372.44
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:45am ET $24.71 197 $4,867.87
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 10:55am ET $25.22 197 $4,967.36 $4,988.63 +$99.49
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $24.69 202 $4,987.38
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $23.94 202 $4,835.90 $4,837.15 $-151.48
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $23.87 202 $4,821.74
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:45am ET $24.38 202 $4,924.76 $4,940.17 +$103.02
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:20am ET $27.19 181 $4,921.39
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $28.41 181 $5,142.21 $5,160.99 +$220.82
(+4.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:55am ET $27.79 185 $5,141.15
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $28.44 185 $5,261.40 $5,281.24 +$120.25
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:45pm ET $27.99 188 $5,262.12
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $28.56 188 $5,369.28 $5,388.40 +$107.16
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:50am ET $28.44 189 $5,375.16
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $29.03 189 $5,486.67 $5,499.91 +$111.51
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $26.85 204 $5,477.40
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $27.57 204 $5,624.30 $5,646.81 +$146.90
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,646.81
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,353.19
Total Return: -43.53%
Back to Rebel Contraire