Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:57:29

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.9/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 37.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 37.2

30-Day Momentum

28
+3.4%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.0 Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,246.82
Current Value
$14,730.49
Period P&L
$483.69
Max Drawdown
-18.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+2.69%
Worst Trade
-3.02%
Avg Trade Return
+0.45%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$230,630.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$483.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$483.69
Gross Return
+3.40%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,246.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 10:45am ET $62.26 228 $14,195.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $63.93 228 $14,576.88 $14,628.39 +$381.60
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET $59.96 243 $14,570.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:30pm ET $58.15 243 $14,131.66 $14,189.77 $-438.62
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:45am ET $59.69 237 $14,146.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:15am ET $60.89 237 $14,430.93 $14,474.18 +$284.40
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:55am ET $59.83 241 $14,419.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $61.19 241 $14,746.79 $14,801.96 +$327.78
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:45am ET $58.09 254 $14,754.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:45am ET $57.10 254 $14,503.53 $14,550.63 $-251.33
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $58.30 249 $14,516.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $56.54 249 $14,078.48 $14,112.42 $-438.21
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $58.97 239 $14,092.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 12:35pm ET $60.22 239 $14,392.58 $14,412.37 +$299.95
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $59.66 241 $14,378.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $60.98 241 $14,696.18 $14,730.49 +$318.12
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,730.49
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,730.49
Total Return: +47.30%
Back to Rebel Contraire