Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:31:21

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

50
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.1/35
Total Return
18.7/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 50.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 50.3

30-Day Momentum

58
+20.2%
30d Return
56%
Win Rate
9
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 68.8 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+8 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$22,828.53
Current Value
$27,697.50
Period P&L
$4,868.98
Max Drawdown
-41.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+23.51%
Worst Trade
-3.20%
Avg Trade Return
+2.37%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$450,014.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,868.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,868.98
Gross Return
+21.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $22,828.53 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 3:15pm ET $323.55 71 $22,972.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:30pm ET $313.59 71 $22,264.89 $22,343.94 $-707.16
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:50pm ET $315.18 70 $22,062.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $324.85 70 $22,739.50 $23,020.84 +$676.90
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:55am ET $328.86 70 $23,020.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:30pm ET $318.33 70 $22,283.10 $22,283.74 $-737.10
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 2:35pm ET $306.55 72 $22,071.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $378.60 72 $27,259.21 $27,471.71 +$5,187.97
(+23.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:35pm ET $342.80 80 $27,424.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:15am ET $332.14 80 $26,571.20 $26,618.51 $-853.20
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $332.98 79 $26,305.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:00am ET $322.32 79 $25,462.89 $25,775.97 $-842.54
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 11:50am ET $334.74 77 $25,774.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:45am ET $341.91 77 $26,326.88 $26,327.87 +$551.90
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET $333.71 78 $26,029.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $343.39 78 $26,784.81 $27,083.30 +$755.43
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:25am ET $333.63 81 $27,023.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:15am ET $341.21 81 $27,637.82 $27,697.50 +$614.20
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $27,697.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$17,697.50
Total Return: +176.97%
Back to Rebel Contraire