Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:26:12

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 11.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 11.1

30-Day Momentum

31
+4.3%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.6 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,341.54
Current Value
$7,801.06
Period P&L
$459.52
Max Drawdown
-43.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+4.33%
Worst Trade
-3.42%
Avg Trade Return
+0.43%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$169,704.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$459.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$459.52
Gross Return
+6.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $7,341.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $18.52 403 $7,465.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 12:00pm ET $18.92 403 $7,622.75 $7,633.71 +$157.17
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:45pm ET $18.82 405 $7,620.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:45am ET $19.36 405 $7,842.82 $7,856.46 +$222.75
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
20h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:05am ET $18.93 414 $7,839.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $18.33 414 $7,590.69 $7,608.06 $-248.40
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:25pm ET $17.82 427 $7,607.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:00am ET $17.26 427 $7,370.02 $7,371.07 $-236.99
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:30am ET $17.78 414 $7,360.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $18.55 414 $7,679.74 $7,689.90 +$318.82
(+4.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $18.09 424 $7,672.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $17.98 424 $7,624.79 $7,642.41 $-47.49
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $17.04 448 $7,633.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:05am ET $17.39 448 $7,788.48 $7,796.97 +$154.56
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:00am ET $17.28 451 $7,795.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 12:50pm ET $17.69 451 $7,980.44 $7,981.88 +$184.91
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $17.25 462 $7,969.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $16.66 462 $7,696.92 $7,709.30 $-272.58
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $16.76 459 $7,692.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $17.49 459 $8,025.62 $8,042.08 +$332.78
(+4.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:45am ET $17.17 468 $8,033.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $16.65 468 $7,792.20 $7,801.06 $-241.02
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,801.06
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,198.94
Total Return: -21.99%
Back to Rebel Contraire