Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:26:04

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.0/35
Total Return
11.7/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 27.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 27.5

30-Day Momentum

17
+1.3%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.4 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,289.12
Current Value
$12,841.17
Period P&L
$552.05
Max Drawdown
-29.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+2.83%
Worst Trade
-3.03%
Avg Trade Return
+0.53%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$199,992.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$552.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$552.05
Gross Return
+4.49%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,289.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:50pm ET $34.71 355 $12,322.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $34.67 355 $12,307.85 $12,314.01 $-14.20
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:40pm ET $34.10 361 $12,308.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:40am ET $34.78 361 $12,555.58 $12,561.29 +$247.28
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 10:05am ET $35.20 356 $12,531.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:05am ET $34.13 356 $12,152.06 $12,182.15 $-379.14
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:15am ET $34.29 355 $12,172.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $35.15 355 $12,478.25 $12,487.45 +$305.30
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:25am ET $35.71 349 $12,462.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:25am ET $36.05 349 $12,582.01 $12,606.67 +$119.22
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 10:40am ET $35.81 352 $12,605.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:05pm ET $36.58 352 $12,874.40 $12,875.95 +$269.28
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:05pm ET $35.30 364 $12,849.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:30am ET $34.24 364 $12,461.54 $12,488.29 $-387.66
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $33.57 372 $12,488.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $34.52 372 $12,840.92 $12,841.17 +$352.88
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,841.17
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,841.17
Total Return: +28.41%
Back to Rebel Contraire