Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 07:59:17

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 10.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.4

30-Day Momentum

49
+9.0%
30d Return
78%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 58.6 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+39 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,349.37
Current Value
$8,033.23
Period P&L
$683.98
Max Drawdown
-53.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
7 / 2
Best Trade
+4.05%
Worst Trade
-4.91%
Avg Trade Return
+1.02%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$139,926.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$683.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$683.98
Gross Return
+9.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $7,349.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 12:40pm ET $39.15 183 $7,163.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $39.80 183 $7,283.40 $7,487.42 +$119.86
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET $38.52 194 $7,472.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $40.08 194 $7,775.52 $7,790.06 +$302.64
(+4.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:05am ET $40.11 194 $7,781.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:00am ET $38.72 194 $7,512.65 $7,521.41 $-268.65
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $38.10 197 $7,506.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:25am ET $38.95 197 $7,672.93 $7,688.35 +$166.94
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $39.56 194 $7,673.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $40.74 194 $7,903.56 $7,918.24 +$229.89
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:45am ET $39.82 198 $7,884.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:55am ET $40.66 198 $8,050.09 $8,083.95 +$165.71
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 11:00am ET $39.54 204 $8,066.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $40.37 204 $8,235.50 $8,253.27 +$169.32
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:05pm ET $38.57 214 $8,252.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $36.67 214 $7,847.38 $7,847.72 $-405.55
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET $34.19 229 $7,829.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $35.00 229 $8,015.00 $8,033.23 +$185.51
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,033.23
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,966.77
Total Return: -19.67%
Back to Rebel Contraire