Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:34:22

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
0.7%
Range Pos
20%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 10.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.0

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.0%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,044.63
Current Value
$8,789.67
Period P&L
$-254.96
Max Drawdown
-15.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+2.18%
Worst Trade
-1.12%
Avg Trade Return
-0.15%
Avg Hold Time
5.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$106,155.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-254.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$-254.96
Gross Return
-2.82%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.82%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TLT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,044.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:15am ET $81.50 107 $8,721.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $83.29 107 $8,911.50 $9,068.71 +$190.46
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:15am ET $83.14 109 $9,062.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:15am ET $82.21 109 $8,961.43 $8,967.34 $-101.37
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:15am ET $83.14 109 $9,062.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $82.39 109 $8,980.50 $8,885.03 $-82.31
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $82.39 107 $8,815.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:30pm ET $81.60 107 $8,731.19 $8,800.49 $-84.54
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:15pm ET $81.19 108 $8,768.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $80.67 108 $8,711.82 $8,743.79 $-56.70
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $81.22 107 $8,691.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:35pm ET $81.65 107 $8,736.96 $8,789.67 +$45.88
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,789.67
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,210.33
Total Return: -12.10%
Back to Rebel Contraire