Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:15:57

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
6.5/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 18.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 18.5

30-Day Momentum

5
-1.0%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.8 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,626.97
Current Value
$10,745.28
Period P&L
$118.36
Max Drawdown
-23.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+3.76%
Worst Trade
-3.54%
Avg Trade Return
+0.18%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$160,939.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$118.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$118.36
Gross Return
+1.11%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,626.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 12:20pm ET $623.96 17 $10,607.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $633.50 17 $10,769.50 $10,773.46 +$162.18
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $634.87 16 $10,157.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $614.34 16 $9,829.44 $10,444.98 $-328.48
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $634.87 16 $10,157.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:35am ET $612.41 16 $9,798.48 $10,085.54 $-359.44
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:55pm ET $613.86 16 $9,821.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:55pm ET $605.67 16 $9,690.80 $9,954.58 $-130.96
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $604.09 16 $9,665.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $626.83 16 $10,029.28 $10,318.42 +$363.84
(+3.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 10:30am ET $639.33 16 $10,229.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:30pm ET $652.48 16 $10,439.76 $10,528.90 +$210.48
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $659.18 15 $9,887.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $657.72 15 $9,865.80 $10,507.00 $-21.90
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 3:10pm ET $658.36 15 $9,875.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:55am ET $674.25 15 $10,113.75 $10,745.28 +$238.28
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,745.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$745.28
Total Return: +7.45%
Back to Rebel Contraire