Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-27 00:51:58

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
13
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 3.6
Severe
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 26, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.2/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 29.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 29.3

30-Day Momentum

14
-1.8%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.5 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-27 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,029.09
Current Value
$13,438.89
Period P&L
$-590.21
Max Drawdown
-37.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+2.72%
Worst Trade
-3.26%
Avg Trade Return
-0.13%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$297,011.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-590.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$-590.21
Gross Return
-4.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,029.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $430.88 31 $13,357.28
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $442.62 31 $13,721.15 $14,048.25 +$363.87
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:10am ET $437.91 32 $14,013.12
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $424.59 32 $13,586.88 $13,622.01 $-426.24
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:15am ET $421.81 32 $13,497.92
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:40am ET $430.67 32 $13,781.50 $13,905.59 +$283.58
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:35am ET $418.21 33 $13,801.09
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:55am ET $405.39 33 $13,377.87 $13,482.37 $-423.22
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:20am ET $402.20 33 $13,272.60
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $410.47 33 $13,545.48 $13,755.25 +$272.88
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $395.61 34 $13,450.74
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $382.72 34 $13,012.48 $13,316.99 $-438.26
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:50pm ET $385.54 34 $13,108.36
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $393.95 34 $13,394.30 $13,602.93 +$285.94
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:20pm ET $401.60 33 $13,252.64
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $412.36 33 $13,607.88 $13,958.17 +$355.24
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:10am ET $407.02 34 $13,838.68
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $394.44 34 $13,410.96 $13,530.45 $-427.72
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $397.45 34 $13,513.30
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:00am ET $406.93 34 $13,835.79 $13,852.94 +$322.49
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:50am ET $386.37 35 $13,522.95
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 2:00pm ET $374.54 35 $13,108.90 $13,438.89 $-414.05
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,438.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,438.89
Total Return: +34.39%
Back to Rebel Contraire