Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:33:28

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.5/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 34.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 34.6

30-Day Momentum

58
+15.5%
30d Return
70%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 66.4 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+23 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,586.42
Current Value
$15,050.64
Period P&L
$2,464.23
Max Drawdown
-29.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.43

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
8 / 3
Best Trade
+9.35%
Worst Trade
-4.87%
Avg Trade Return
+1.67%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$303,956.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,464.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,464.23
Gross Return
+19.58%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,586.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:45am ET $134.73 94 $12,664.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $128.17 94 $12,047.76 $12,090.80 $-616.86
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $125.43 96 $12,041.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 11:30am ET $128.10 96 $12,297.60 $12,347.12 +$256.32
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $129.93 95 $12,342.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $133.89 95 $12,719.55 $12,723.79 +$376.67
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 10:05am ET $136.87 92 $12,592.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:30pm ET $139.76 92 $12,858.38 $12,990.14 +$266.34
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $129.93 95 $12,342.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $142.07 95 $13,497.12 $14,144.39 +$1,154.25
(+9.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $141.29 100 $14,129.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $144.68 100 $14,468.00 $14,483.39 +$339.00
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 12:25pm ET $149.01 97 $14,453.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $154.70 97 $15,005.90 $15,035.32 +$551.93
(+3.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 11:35am ET $152.70 98 $14,964.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $159.44 98 $15,625.12 $15,695.84 +$660.52
(+4.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:25am ET $160.32 97 $15,551.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 11:10am ET $155.49 97 $15,082.92 $15,227.72 $-468.12
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $154.45 98 $15,135.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $148.87 98 $14,589.26 $14,681.37 $-546.35
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:15pm ET $147.36 99 $14,588.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $151.09 99 $14,957.91 $15,050.64 +$369.27
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,050.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,050.64
Total Return: +50.51%
Back to Rebel Contraire