Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 03:57:20

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 10.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 10.1

30-Day Momentum

12
-1.4%
30d Return
56%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.4 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,005.50
Current Value
$9,170.93
Period P&L
$165.42
Max Drawdown
-48.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+4.36%
Worst Trade
-4.39%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$160,170.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$165.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$165.42
Gross Return
+1.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,005.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 1:45pm ET $19.81 483 $9,568.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $18.94 483 $9,148.02 $8,879.93 $-420.21
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $18.69 474 $8,861.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:40pm ET $18.08 474 $8,569.87 $8,588.37 $-291.56
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:55am ET $18.51 463 $8,572.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $18.90 463 $8,752.18 $8,768.11 +$179.74
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:00am ET $17.72 494 $8,751.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $17.14 494 $8,465.18 $8,482.08 $-286.03
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:05am ET $18.09 468 $8,466.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $18.47 468 $8,641.62 $8,657.63 +$175.55
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:55am ET $18.10 478 $8,651.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $18.89 478 $9,029.42 $9,035.25 +$377.62
(+4.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:30am ET $18.35 492 $9,030.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $18.88 492 $9,288.02 $9,292.62 +$257.37
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:55am ET $17.60 527 $9,275.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:55am ET $17.00 527 $8,961.63 $8,979.05 $-313.57
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:35am ET $16.83 533 $8,973.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:20pm ET $17.19 533 $9,164.93 $9,170.93 +$191.88
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,170.93
Net Profit/Loss: $-829.07
Total Return: -8.29%
Back to Rebel Contraire