Compendium › Rebel Contraire › UVXY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
UVXY
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-07 to present • 13 trades in period

+7.82%
Last Month Return
$9,301.38
Current Value
69%
Win Rate
$8,626.84
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:59:28

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 10.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 10.1

30-Day Momentum

47
+7.8%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 49.8 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+37 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,626.84
Current Value
$9,301.38
Period P&L
$674.57
Max Drawdown
-48.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
9 / 4
Best Trade
+3.22%
Worst Trade
-4.21%
Avg Trade Return
+0.62%
Avg Hold Time
16.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$226,809.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$674.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$674.57
Gross Return
+7.82%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.82%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,626.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:20pm ET $51.87 166 $8,610.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $52.97 166 $8,792.92 $8,809.31 +$182.50
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
25m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $44.39 198 $8,789.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:15am ET $43.02 198 $8,517.96 $8,538.05 $-271.26
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:15am ET $41.00 208 $8,528.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:55am ET $41.94 208 $8,723.52 $8,733.55 +$195.50
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
40m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 12:00pm ET $41.22 211 $8,698.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $39.94 211 $8,428.39 $8,463.47 $-270.08
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $38.28 221 $8,459.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $39.06 221 $8,632.26 $8,635.85 +$172.38
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $39.09 220 $8,599.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $37.44 220 $8,237.90 $8,273.95 $-361.90
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:45am ET $39.30 210 $8,252.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $40.27 210 $8,456.68 $8,477.65 +$203.70
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $39.20 216 $8,467.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $40.33 216 $8,711.28 $8,721.73 +$244.08
(+2.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:45pm ET $38.97 223 $8,690.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $39.77 223 $8,868.71 $8,899.86 +$178.13
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $37.72 235 $8,863.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $38.93 235 $9,148.57 $9,185.41 +$285.55
(+3.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
17.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 2:20pm ET $37.96 242 $9,185.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:00am ET $36.74 242 $8,891.08 $8,891.38 $-294.03
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:15am ET $36.07 246 $8,873.22 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $36.85 246 $9,065.10 $9,083.26 +$191.88
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $36.34 249 $9,049.66 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $37.22 249 $9,267.78 $9,301.38 +$218.12
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,301.38
Net Profit/Loss: $-698.62
Total Return: -6.99%
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