Compendium › Rebel Contraire › VOO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VOO
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-06-01 to present • 4 trades in period

-0.95%
Last Month Return
$15,997.28
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$16,151.08
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-07-01 13:33:39

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
11
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.38%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.80
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.7
Storm
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
35.8 neutral
20d Trend
-2.8%
5d Trend
-2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
50%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Jul 1, 2026

57
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
22.0/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
9.2/15
Profit Factor
5.7/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 58.7/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 57.2

30-Day Momentum

3
-0.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-54 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,687
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-01 → 2026-07-01
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,151.08
Current Value
$15,997.28
Period P&L
$-153.80
Max Drawdown
-9.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+1.37%
Worst Trade
-2.11%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$127,041.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-153.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-153.80
Gross Return
-0.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VOO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $16,151.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $689.03 23 $15,847.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $698.46 23 $16,064.58 $16,234.92 +$216.78
(+1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $696.81 23 $16,026.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:35am ET $682.14 23 $15,689.22 $15,897.51 $-337.41
(-2.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:00am ET $684.25 23 $15,737.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $691.50 23 $15,904.50 $16,064.26 +$166.75
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET $692.12 23 $15,918.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $689.21 23 $15,851.77 $15,997.28 $-66.98
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,997.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,997.28
Total Return: +59.97%
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