Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:25:16

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
35.8 neutral
20d Trend
-2.8%
5d Trend
-2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
50%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

59
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
23.2/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
5.6/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 59.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 59.3

30-Day Momentum

3
-0.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-56 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,315.98
Current Value
$16,329.55
Period P&L
$13.56
Max Drawdown
-9.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+2.00%
Worst Trade
-0.90%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
5.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$188,700.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$13.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$13.56
Gross Return
+0.08%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VOO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $16,315.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $705.93 23 $16,236.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $703.32 23 $16,176.36 $16,282.29 $-60.03
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:30am ET $707.96 22 $15,575.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:30am ET $701.92 22 $15,442.24 $16,149.41 $-132.88
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:30am ET $707.96 22 $15,575.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $710.21 22 $15,624.62 $16,198.91 +$49.50
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $707.85 22 $15,572.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 1:25pm ET $701.51 22 $15,433.22 $16,059.43 $-139.48
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $697.29 23 $16,037.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $695.67 23 $16,000.52 $16,022.29 $-37.14
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $698.16 22 $15,359.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $712.13 22 $15,666.86 $16,329.55 +$307.26
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,329.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,329.55
Total Return: +63.30%
Back to Rebel Contraire