Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-07-02 02:00:57

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
19
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.44%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.7
Storm
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Jul 1, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.2/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 27.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 26.7

30-Day Momentum

49
+7.7%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
7
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 63.0 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+22 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-02 → 2026-07-01
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,001.64
Current Value
$11,936.87
Period P&L
$935.24
Max Drawdown
-21.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.71

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
5 / 1
Best Trade
+2.81%
Worst Trade
-3.03%
Avg Trade Return
+1.43%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$133,692.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$935.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$935.24
Gross Return
+8.50%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,001.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:50am ET $428.15 25 $10,703.75
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $440.20 25 $11,005.00 $11,302.88 +$301.25
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:50pm ET $450.36 25 $11,259.00
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $436.72 25 $10,918.00 $10,961.88 $-341.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 2:30pm ET $443.52 24 $10,644.48
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $453.17 24 $10,876.08 $11,193.48 +$231.60
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $451.97 24 $10,847.28
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 11:25am ET $461.08 24 $11,065.92 $11,412.12 +$218.64
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 11:25am ET $451.41 25 $11,285.25
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $461.46 25 $11,536.50 $11,663.37 +$251.25
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:45am ET $465.55 25 $11,638.75
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET $476.49 25 $11,912.25 $11,936.87 +$273.50
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,936.87
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,936.87
Total Return: +19.37%
Back to Rebel Contraire