Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 21:21:53

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.18%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.2/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 26.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 26.6

30-Day Momentum

3
-4.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,541.36
Current Value
$11,953.32
Period P&L
$-588.04
Max Drawdown
-21.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.46

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+1.72%
Worst Trade
-3.82%
Avg Trade Return
-0.78%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$144,980.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-588.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$-588.04
Gross Return
-4.69%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.69%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,541.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:35am ET $550.41 22 $12,109.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:35am ET $549.78 22 $12,095.16 $12,522.00 $-13.86
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $548.84 22 $12,074.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $549.55 22 $12,090.10 $12,537.51 +$15.51
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $548.84 22 $12,074.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $558.26 22 $12,281.72 $12,744.64 +$207.13
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:45pm ET $550.82 23 $12,668.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $529.76 23 $12,184.37 $12,260.14 $-484.50
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:05am ET $525.11 23 $12,077.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:05am ET $516.97 23 $11,890.31 $12,072.92 $-187.22
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:55am ET $512.05 23 $11,777.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $506.85 23 $11,657.55 $11,953.32 $-119.60
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,953.32
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,953.32
Total Return: +19.53%
Back to Rebel Contraire