Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-21 10:12:29

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 9.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 9.6

30-Day Momentum

9
-10.8%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.2 Conf: 0.84×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,192.84
Current Value
$7,078.78
Period P&L
$-1,114.03
Max Drawdown
-57.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.43

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
4 / 6
Best Trade
+2.66%
Worst Trade
-7.35%
Avg Trade Return
-1.40%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$148,300.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,114.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,114.03
Gross Return
-13.60%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,192.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:35am ET $27.00 303 $8,182.51
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:35pm ET $26.15 303 $7,923.45 $7,933.75 $-259.06
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:40pm ET $26.41 300 $7,924.29
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:45am ET $25.48 300 $7,644.03 $7,653.49 $-280.26
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $25.44 300 $7,631.40
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 12:40pm ET $24.66 300 $7,396.50 $7,418.59 $-234.90
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:20pm ET $23.92 310 $7,415.20
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $24.41 310 $7,567.10 $7,570.49 +$151.90
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:50am ET $24.37 310 $7,554.70
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:45pm ET $23.62 310 $7,322.23 $7,338.02 $-232.47
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $25.23 290 $7,316.70
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:55am ET $24.47 290 $7,094.85 $7,116.17 $-221.85
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET $24.23 293 $7,099.39
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $24.74 293 $7,248.82 $7,265.60 +$149.43
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
50m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:40pm ET $26.31 276 $7,261.56
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 11:00am ET $26.94 276 $7,436.82 $7,440.86 +$175.26
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:00am ET $24.84 299 $7,427.16
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $23.01 299 $6,881.48 $6,895.18 $-545.68
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:40am ET $22.53 306 $6,894.18
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $23.13 306 $7,077.78 $7,078.78 +$183.60
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,078.78
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,921.22
Total Return: -29.21%
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