Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:29:01

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 9.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 8.9

30-Day Momentum

14
+0.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.9 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,131.99
Current Value
$5,267.12
Period P&L
$135.14
Max Drawdown
-57.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+2.95%
Worst Trade
-3.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$82,545.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$135.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$135.14
Gross Return
+2.63%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.63%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $5,131.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 2:35pm ET $19.14 276 $5,281.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $18.63 276 $5,141.88 $5,083.68 $-139.38
(-2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:00am ET $18.42 276 $5,082.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:00am ET $18.32 276 $5,056.32 $5,057.46 $-26.22
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:00am ET $18.42 276 $5,082.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $17.90 276 $4,941.23 $4,916.15 $-141.31
(-2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 2:10pm ET $17.54 280 $4,911.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 10:10am ET $17.95 280 $5,025.97 $5,031.06 +$114.91
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:20am ET $18.23 275 $5,012.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $18.73 275 $5,149.38 $5,167.54 +$136.48
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $18.10 285 $5,159.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $18.64 285 $5,312.40 $5,320.01 +$152.47
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:40am ET $18.16 292 $5,302.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $18.55 292 $5,416.60 $5,433.89 +$113.88
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:15pm ET $17.70 306 $5,417.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $17.16 306 $5,250.96 $5,267.12 $-166.77
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,267.12
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,732.88
Total Return: -47.33%
Back to Rebel Contraire