Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:07:39

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 10.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 10.3

30-Day Momentum

50
+9.6%
30d Return
73%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 55.1 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+39 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,724
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,412.72
Current Value
$8,126.29
Period P&L
$713.60
Max Drawdown
-57.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
8 / 3
Best Trade
+3.58%
Worst Trade
-3.57%
Avg Trade Return
+0.87%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$174,086.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$713.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$713.60
Gross Return
+9.63%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.63%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $7,412.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:00am ET $33.76 219 $7,394.53
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $34.65 219 $7,588.35 $7,606.51 +$193.82
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:20am ET $31.54 241 $7,601.14
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:55am ET $32.67 241 $7,873.47 $7,878.84 +$272.33
(+3.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
35m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:55am ET $30.94 254 $7,860.03
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:15pm ET $30.01 254 $7,623.81 $7,642.62 $-236.22
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:35pm ET $29.16 262 $7,638.61
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $29.95 262 $7,848.21 $7,852.22 +$209.60
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:55am ET $28.65 274 $7,848.73
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $29.30 274 $8,028.20 $8,031.69 +$179.47
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $29.30 274 $8,028.20
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $29.92 274 $8,198.08 $8,201.57 +$169.88
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:15pm ET $29.51 277 $8,175.65
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:15pm ET $30.11 277 $8,341.85 $8,367.77 +$166.20
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:40pm ET $29.43 284 $8,358.12
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $28.40 284 $8,065.63 $8,075.28 $-292.49
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $29.00 278 $8,063.39
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $27.97 278 $7,775.66 $7,787.55 $-287.73
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
10 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:50am ET $28.00 278 $7,782.61
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:20am ET $28.61 278 $7,954.97 $7,959.91 +$172.36
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
11 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $28.14 282 $7,935.48
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $28.73 282 $8,101.86 $8,126.29 +$166.38
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,126.29
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,873.71
Total Return: -18.74%
Back to Rebel Contraire