Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:31:41

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.4/35
Total Return
15.2/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 49.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 48.8

30-Day Momentum

48
+7.7%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
7
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 62.0 Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,944.05
Current Value
$16,680.01
Period P&L
$736.00
Max Drawdown
-14.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.57

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
5 / 2
Best Trade
+2.87%
Worst Trade
-2.28%
Avg Trade Return
+1.09%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$227,045.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$736.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$736.00
Gross Return
+4.62%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $15,944.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:55am ET $102.56 147 $15,075.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $105.50 147 $15,508.50 $15,926.37 +$432.91
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $103.47 153 $15,830.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $105.58 153 $16,153.74 $16,249.20 +$322.83
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:35am ET $106.01 153 $16,219.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:50am ET $108.26 153 $16,564.54 $16,594.21 +$345.01
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:15am ET $107.46 154 $16,548.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:15am ET $105.82 154 $16,296.28 $16,341.65 $-252.56
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 11:15am ET $105.93 154 $16,313.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $108.19 154 $16,662.03 $16,689.69 +$348.04
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $108.69 153 $16,629.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $106.21 153 $16,250.89 $16,311.01 $-378.68
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:35am ET $108.74 150 $16,311.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:35am ET $111.20 150 $16,680.00 $16,680.01 +$369.00
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,680.01
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,680.01
Total Return: +66.80%
Back to Rebel Contraire