Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-09 07:37:08

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
70 neutral
20d Trend
+11.0%
5d Trend
+2.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.4%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
76%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026

61
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.3/35
Total Return
16.3/25
Win Rate
9.0/15
Profit Factor
5.2/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 61.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 60.5

30-Day Momentum

9
-3.1%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.1 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-51 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$20,025.97
Current Value
$18,974.25
Period P&L
$-1,051.66
Max Drawdown
-12.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+2.37%
Worst Trade
-3.72%
Avg Trade Return
-0.41%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$272,090.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,051.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,051.66
Gross Return
-5.25%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $20,025.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:20am ET $57.31 341 $19,542.71
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $58.67 341 $20,006.47 $20,036.14 +$463.76
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET $56.90 352 $20,027.04
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:10am ET $55.63 352 $19,583.52 $19,592.62 $-443.52
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:15am ET $56.49 346 $19,547.27
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $54.39 346 $18,819.63 $18,864.98 $-727.64
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:10am ET $55.53 339 $18,826.36
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $56.67 339 $19,211.13 $19,249.74 +$384.76
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET $56.67 339 $19,211.13
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $57.49 339 $19,490.80 $19,529.42 +$279.68
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:45pm ET $58.81 332 $19,526.58
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:45pm ET $59.26 332 $19,672.66 $19,675.50 +$146.08
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:20pm ET $59.58 330 $19,663.05
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $57.46 330 $18,961.80 $18,974.25 $-701.25
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,974.25
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,974.25
Total Return: +89.74%
Back to Rebel Contraire