Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:05:49

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
44.4 neutral
20d Trend
-1.7%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
1.2%
Range Pos
44%
Bounce Ratio
1.3×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

41
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.4/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
3.8/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 41.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 41.3

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-38 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$57.14
Current Value
$15,261.85
Period P&L
$-323.23
Max Drawdown
-17.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+0.91%
Worst Trade
-1.77%
Avg Trade Return
-0.23%
Avg Hold Time
5.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$217,206.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-323.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$-323.23
Gross Return
-565.68%
Net Return (after fees)
-565.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLF Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $57.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:20am ET $57.80 268 $15,490.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $57.94 268 $15,527.92 $15,547.56 +$37.52
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:20am ET $57.80 268 $15,490.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $58.26 268 $15,613.68 $15,670.84 +$123.28
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $57.83 270 $15,615.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $57.58 270 $15,547.95 $15,603.34 $-67.50
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $57.83 270 $15,615.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $58.36 270 $15,757.20 $15,745.09 +$141.75
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $58.17 270 $15,707.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:30pm ET $57.15 270 $15,429.53 $15,467.37 $-277.72
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $56.86 272 $15,464.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $56.58 272 $15,388.40 $15,391.05 $-76.32
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:50pm ET $56.41 272 $15,343.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 12:50pm ET $55.94 272 $15,214.32 $15,261.85 $-129.20
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,261.85
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,261.85
Total Return: +52.62%
Back to Rebel Contraire