Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:25:30

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

50
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
17.9/35
Total Return
15.4/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 50.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 49.8

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.6%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.1 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-40 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,709.23
Current Value
$17,092.95
Period P&L
$383.77
Max Drawdown
-13.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+4.33%
Worst Trade
-5.72%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$242,208.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$383.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$383.77
Gross Return
+2.30%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $16,709.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:25am ET $167.76 106 $17,782.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $158.16 106 $16,765.49 $16,354.61 $-1,017.07
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $157.68 103 $16,241.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET $161.33 103 $16,616.99 $16,730.56 +$375.95
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $157.68 103 $16,241.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $164.51 103 $16,944.02 $17,433.54 +$702.98
(+4.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $160.28 108 $17,310.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $164.83 108 $17,801.64 $17,924.94 +$491.40
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:25am ET $163.45 109 $17,816.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:00am ET $166.84 109 $18,185.02 $18,293.91 +$368.97
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:25am ET $167.67 109 $18,276.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $162.27 109 $17,687.97 $17,705.85 $-588.06
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 11:40am ET $162.74 108 $17,576.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $157.07 108 $16,963.56 $17,092.95 $-612.90
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,092.95
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,092.95
Total Return: +70.93%
Back to Rebel Contraire