Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:34:43

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 8.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 8.6

30-Day Momentum

4
-9.1%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,320
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
258 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,686.39
Current Value
$9,246.40
Period P&L
$-1,440.05
Max Drawdown
-15.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
62
Winners / Losers
25 / 37
Best Trade
+3.69%
Worst Trade
-4.09%
Avg Trade Return
-0.21%
Avg Hold Time
4.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,293,704.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,440.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,440.05
Gross Return
-13.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 258 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 62 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,686.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 10:05am ET $303.25 35 $10,613.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET $304.05 35 $10,641.69 $10,681.15 +$27.94
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:20am ET $302.76 35 $10,596.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $297.87 35 $10,425.45 $10,510.00 $-171.15
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 9:30am ET $295.72 35 $10,350.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 9:30am ET $297.10 35 $10,398.50 $10,558.30 +$48.30
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 9:55am ET $307.35 34 $10,449.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 9:55am ET $307.08 34 $10,440.72 $10,549.12 $-9.18
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 10:20am ET $307.01 34 $10,438.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $306.09 34 $10,407.06 $10,517.84 $-31.28
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 9:40am ET $308.38 34 $10,484.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 9:45am ET $298.53 34 $10,150.02 $10,182.94 $-334.90
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 10:20am ET $295.62 34 $10,051.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET $306.19 34 $10,410.46 $10,542.32 +$359.38
(+3.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $303.51 34 $10,319.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $302.75 34 $10,293.50 $10,516.48 $-25.84
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 10:00am ET $306.54 34 $10,422.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:00am ET $305.43 34 $10,384.45 $10,478.57 $-37.91
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 10:15am ET $306.46 34 $10,419.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $308.00 34 $10,472.00 $10,530.93 +$52.36
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:55am ET $309.00 34 $10,506.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $308.75 34 $10,497.50 $10,522.43 $-8.50
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET $301.98 34 $10,267.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 1:45pm ET $308.07 34 $10,474.26 $10,729.37 +$206.94
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 1:45pm ET $308.44 34 $10,486.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 1:45pm ET $309.54 34 $10,524.36 $10,766.94 +$37.57
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 1:45pm ET $308.66 34 $10,494.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:35am ET $314.86 34 $10,705.24 $10,977.74 +$210.80
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 10:45am ET $317.22 34 $10,785.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $314.57 34 $10,695.55 $10,887.80 $-89.93
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 10:15am ET $312.81 34 $10,635.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $309.51 34 $10,523.17 $10,775.43 $-112.37
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 2:25pm ET $308.13 34 $10,476.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $301.21 34 $10,241.14 $10,540.15 $-235.28
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $299.53 35 $10,483.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $305.99 35 $10,709.71 $10,766.48 +$226.33
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $308.37 34 $10,484.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:05pm ET $307.77 34 $10,464.18 $10,746.08 $-20.40
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET $304.96 35 $10,673.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET $305.69 35 $10,699.15 $10,771.63 +$25.55
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:55am ET $304.03 35 $10,641.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $313.39 35 $10,968.48 $11,099.06 +$327.43
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $313.45 35 $10,970.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $318.99 35 $11,164.56 $11,292.87 +$193.81
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:50am ET $321.55 35 $11,254.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $326.64 35 $11,432.40 $11,471.20 +$178.33
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:30am ET $325.28 35 $11,384.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $325.11 35 $11,378.85 $11,465.25 $-5.95
(-0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.1h held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:05am ET $327.62 34 $11,139.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $330.25 34 $11,228.50 $11,554.67 +$89.42
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:20am ET $334.45 34 $11,371.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $341.28 34 $11,603.52 $11,787.06 +$232.39
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $330.05 35 $11,551.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $325.90 35 $11,406.67 $11,641.99 $-145.07
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $328.29 35 $11,490.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $328.28 35 $11,489.80 $11,641.64 $-0.35
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:40am ET $329.26 35 $11,524.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 11:40am ET $319.30 35 $11,175.33 $11,292.92 $-348.72
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:45am ET $312.74 36 $11,258.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 11:45am ET $309.61 36 $11,145.96 $11,180.24 $-112.68
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 2:55pm ET $311.86 35 $10,915.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:55pm ET $309.59 35 $10,835.65 $11,100.79 $-79.45
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:05am ET $305.11 36 $10,983.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:05am ET $307.99 36 $11,087.64 $11,204.65 +$103.86
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:30am ET $307.84 36 $11,082.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $304.39 36 $10,958.22 $11,080.63 $-124.02
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:50am ET $302.08 36 $10,874.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $308.57 36 $11,108.52 $11,314.27 +$233.64
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:00am ET $308.47 36 $11,104.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $297.54 36 $10,711.26 $10,920.73 $-393.54
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET $291.08 37 $10,769.96 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $286.58 37 $10,603.46 $10,754.23 $-166.50
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
37 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:30am ET $284.54 37 $10,527.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $275.98 37 $10,211.26 $10,437.70 $-316.53
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
38 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:55am ET $276.67 37 $10,236.97 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $275.75 37 $10,202.75 $10,403.48 $-34.22
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
39 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:20am ET $283.74 36 $10,214.64 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $280.07 36 $10,082.52 $10,271.36 $-132.12
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
40 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:00am ET $281.48 36 $10,133.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:00am ET $277.53 36 $9,991.08 $10,129.16 $-142.20
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
41 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 1:10pm ET $275.27 36 $9,909.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $277.81 36 $10,001.16 $10,220.78 +$91.62
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
42 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $284.36 35 $9,952.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $284.06 35 $9,942.10 $10,210.28 $-10.50
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
43 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:45am ET $286.89 35 $10,041.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:15pm ET $278.15 35 $9,735.25 $9,904.38 $-305.90
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
44 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 11:05am ET $272.23 36 $9,800.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $271.16 36 $9,761.76 $9,866.04 $-38.34
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
45 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:45am ET $269.31 36 $9,695.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 11:10am ET $275.41 36 $9,914.76 $10,085.64 +$219.60
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
46 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:20am ET $274.61 36 $9,885.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $284.73 36 $10,250.28 $10,449.96 +$364.32
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
47 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $281.02 37 $10,397.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $273.16 37 $10,106.92 $10,159.14 $-290.82
(-2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
48 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:30am ET $270.31 37 $10,001.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $276.20 37 $10,219.40 $10,377.07 +$217.93
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
49 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:50am ET $268.22 38 $10,192.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $267.55 38 $10,166.90 $10,351.61 $-25.46
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
50 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $281.02 37 $10,397.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $269.52 37 $9,972.24 $9,926.11 $-425.50
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22d held
51 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:35am ET $268.59 36 $9,669.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $275.40 36 $9,914.40 $10,171.27 +$245.16
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 11:35am ET $269.27 37 $9,962.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET $274.93 37 $10,172.59 $10,380.88 +$209.61
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
53 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 11:25am ET $273.79 37 $10,130.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 11:25am ET $272.18 37 $10,070.66 $10,321.31 $-59.57
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
54 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 11:30am ET $273.58 37 $10,122.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 11:30am ET $267.11 37 $9,883.07 $10,081.73 $-239.58
(-2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
55 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 12:50pm ET $268.66 37 $9,940.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $271.00 37 $10,027.00 $10,168.31 +$86.58
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
56 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 12:50pm ET $268.66 37 $9,940.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $268.88 37 $9,948.56 $10,176.45 +$8.14
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.9d held
57 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $265.36 38 $10,083.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $262.17 38 $9,962.46 $10,055.23 $-121.22
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
58 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $265.36 38 $10,083.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $258.80 38 $9,834.59 $9,806.14 $-249.09
(-2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $256.71 38 $9,754.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:30pm ET $253.96 38 $9,650.48 $9,701.64 $-104.50
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
60 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $254.18 38 $9,659.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $254.59 38 $9,674.23 $9,716.84 +$15.20
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
61 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $250.98 38 $9,537.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:05pm ET $247.91 38 $9,420.58 $9,600.18 $-116.66
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
62 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $250.75 38 $9,528.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:50am ET $241.44 38 $9,174.72 $9,246.40 $-353.78
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,246.40
Net Profit/Loss: $-753.60
Total Return: -7.54%
Back to Rebel Contraire