Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:32:11

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
35.8 neutral
20d Trend
-2.8%
5d Trend
-2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
50%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

59
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
23.2/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
5.6/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 59.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 59.3

30-Day Momentum

3
-0.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-56 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
28,131
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$13,417.52
Current Value
$16,329.55
Period P&L
$2,912.03
Max Drawdown
-9.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
60
Winners / Losers
35 / 25
Best Trade
+3.54%
Worst Trade
-3.28%
Avg Trade Return
+0.33%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,775,328.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,912.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,912.03
Gross Return
+21.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VOO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 60 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,417.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 10:00am ET $614.66 22 $13,522.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET $610.73 22 $13,436.06 $13,436.88 $-86.46
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 11:15am ET $609.06 22 $13,399.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $616.90 22 $13,571.80 $13,609.36 +$172.48
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 9:45am ET $618.10 22 $13,598.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 9:30am ET $607.46 22 $13,364.05 $13,375.21 $-234.15
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:35am ET $602.39 22 $13,252.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 10:00am ET $615.03 22 $13,530.66 $13,653.29 +$278.08
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 10:55am ET $613.33 22 $13,493.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 10:55am ET $618.37 22 $13,604.07 $13,764.11 +$110.81
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 11:15am ET $615.50 22 $13,541.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:50am ET $627.93 22 $13,814.46 $14,037.57 +$273.46
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 9:50am ET $630.03 22 $13,860.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 9:30am ET $629.55 22 $13,850.10 $14,027.06 $-10.51
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 10:50am ET $623.74 22 $13,722.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $623.20 22 $13,710.43 $14,015.21 $-11.85
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $625.31 22 $13,756.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $616.99 22 $13,573.67 $13,832.17 $-183.04
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:50am ET $606.64 22 $13,346.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $619.05 22 $13,618.99 $14,105.08 +$272.91
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 10:35am ET $598.93 23 $13,775.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $611.47 23 $14,063.81 $14,393.50 +$288.42
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET $611.40 23 $14,062.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $623.66 23 $14,344.18 $14,675.48 +$281.98
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 10:00am ET $626.36 23 $14,406.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 10:00am ET $627.27 23 $14,427.21 $14,696.38 +$20.90
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 10:50am ET $628.40 23 $14,453.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 10:50am ET $629.20 23 $14,471.60 $14,714.78 +$18.40
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 11:00am ET $627.03 23 $14,421.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 11:00am ET $626.21 23 $14,402.83 $14,696.03 $-18.74
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 11:10am ET $623.18 23 $14,333.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $628.71 23 $14,460.33 $14,823.22 +$127.19
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET $629.54 23 $14,479.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $632.75 23 $14,553.14 $14,897.05 +$73.83
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:40am ET $631.91 23 $14,533.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $631.84 23 $14,532.40 $14,895.64 $-1.41
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET $634.36 23 $14,590.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $636.29 23 $14,634.67 $14,940.03 +$44.39
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET $638.62 23 $14,688.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $627.78 23 $14,438.94 $14,690.72 $-249.30
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:05am ET $629.21 23 $14,471.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:05am ET $637.19 23 $14,655.37 $14,874.38 +$183.66
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $639.67 23 $14,712.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $635.71 23 $14,621.23 $14,783.31 $-91.07
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET $637.25 23 $14,656.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $634.49 23 $14,593.27 $14,719.83 $-63.48
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET $638.24 23 $14,679.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $639.24 23 $14,702.52 $14,742.84 +$23.00
(+0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $625.43 23 $14,384.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $633.24 23 $14,564.52 $14,922.47 +$179.63
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:00am ET $627.92 23 $14,442.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $624.21 23 $14,356.83 $14,837.14 $-85.33
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET $620.10 23 $14,262.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $613.41 23 $14,108.43 $14,683.29 $-153.85
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET $622.85 23 $14,325.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $614.35 23 $14,130.05 $14,487.79 $-195.50
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:00am ET $619.58 23 $14,250.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:55am ET $600.97 23 $13,822.31 $14,059.76 $-428.03
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:15am ET $610.41 23 $14,039.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $590.37 23 $13,578.51 $13,598.95 $-460.81
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $584.57 23 $13,445.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 2:55pm ET $596.44 23 $13,718.12 $13,872.08 +$273.13
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:55pm ET $601.48 23 $13,834.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $605.22 23 $13,919.95 $13,957.99 +$85.91
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $601.03 23 $13,823.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $622.28 23 $14,312.33 $14,446.74 +$488.75
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $620.29 23 $14,266.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $633.12 23 $14,561.66 $14,741.73 +$294.99
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:55am ET $640.97 22 $14,101.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:50am ET $653.81 22 $14,383.71 $15,024.21 +$282.48
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:50am ET $650.25 23 $14,955.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $655.71 23 $15,081.30 $15,149.76 +$125.55
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:55am ET $653.91 23 $15,039.93 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $662.04 23 $15,226.92 $15,336.75 +$186.99
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
38 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:40am ET $664.38 23 $15,280.64 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:25am ET $677.85 23 $15,590.55 $15,646.65 +$309.90
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
39 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:35am ET $678.86 23 $15,613.89 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $679.95 23 $15,638.78 $15,671.53 +$24.88
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
40 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:35am ET $674.84 23 $15,521.32 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $689.91 23 $15,867.93 $16,018.14 +$346.61
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
41 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $689.03 23 $15,847.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $698.46 23 $16,064.58 $16,234.92 +$216.78
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
42 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $696.81 23 $16,026.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:35am ET $682.14 23 $15,689.22 $15,897.51 $-337.41
(-2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
43 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:00am ET $684.25 23 $15,737.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $691.50 23 $15,904.50 $16,064.26 +$166.75
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
44 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET $692.12 23 $15,918.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $689.21 23 $15,851.77 $15,997.28 $-66.98
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
45 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $676.22 23 $15,553.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $678.99 23 $15,616.77 $16,060.99 +$63.71
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
46 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $676.22 23 $15,553.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $687.94 23 $15,822.62 $16,330.55 +$269.56
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held
47 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:55am ET $688.30 23 $15,831.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $692.53 23 $15,928.30 $16,427.84 +$97.29
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
48 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:45am ET $690.16 23 $15,873.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $687.50 23 $15,812.50 $16,366.66 $-61.18
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
49 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 11:40am ET $687.14 23 $15,804.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $684.43 23 $15,742.00 $16,304.44 $-62.22
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
50 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:55am ET $688.30 23 $15,831.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $675.86 23 $15,544.78 $16,018.20 $-286.24
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23d held
51 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $682.09 23 $15,688.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 1:25pm ET $695.82 23 $16,003.86 $16,333.99 +$315.79
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $709.08 23 $16,308.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $710.56 23 $16,342.82 $16,367.97 +$33.98
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
53 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:05am ET $710.92 23 $16,351.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $713.94 23 $16,420.62 $16,437.43 +$69.46
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
54 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $705.93 23 $16,236.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $701.79 23 $16,141.28 $16,342.32 $-95.11
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
55 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $705.93 23 $16,236.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $703.32 23 $16,176.36 $16,282.29 $-60.03
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held
56 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:30am ET $707.96 22 $15,575.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:30am ET $701.92 22 $15,442.24 $16,149.41 $-132.88
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
57 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:30am ET $707.96 22 $15,575.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $710.21 22 $15,624.62 $16,198.91 +$49.50
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $707.85 22 $15,572.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 1:25pm ET $701.51 22 $15,433.22 $16,059.43 $-139.48
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $697.29 23 $16,037.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $695.67 23 $16,000.52 $16,022.29 $-37.14
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
60 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $698.16 22 $15,359.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $712.13 22 $15,666.86 $16,329.55 +$307.26
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,329.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,329.55
Total Return: +63.30%
Back to Rebel Contraire