Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:20:54

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.2/35
Total Return
16.0/25
Win Rate
8.8/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 49.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 48.8

30-Day Momentum

40
+6.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 54.4 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,409.94
Current Value
$18,264.11
Period P&L
$2,854.21
Max Drawdown
-20.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.42

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
14 / 6
Best Trade
+2.57%
Worst Trade
-3.79%
Avg Trade Return
+0.88%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$669,431.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,854.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,854.21
Gross Return
+18.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $15,409.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 12:10pm ET $298.80 51 $15,239.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $287.48 51 $14,661.48 $14,832.31 $-577.57
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 11:30am ET $278.11 53 $14,739.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $285.26 53 $15,118.77 $15,211.25 +$378.94
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:45am ET $285.53 53 $15,133.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $292.13 53 $15,482.89 $15,561.06 +$349.80
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:55am ET $313.41 49 $15,357.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $320.60 49 $15,709.22 $15,913.19 +$352.13
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:30am ET $314.24 50 $15,712.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:40am ET $321.17 50 $16,058.50 $16,259.69 +$346.50
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:50am ET $330.24 49 $16,181.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 10:50am ET $326.92 49 $16,019.32 $16,097.26 $-162.44
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 11:10am ET $324.33 49 $15,891.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 11:10am ET $331.27 49 $16,232.23 $16,437.56 +$340.30
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 11:55am ET $337.07 48 $16,179.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 2:00pm ET $344.17 48 $16,520.40 $16,778.84 +$341.28
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:40am ET $300.78 55 $16,542.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:50pm ET $307.33 55 $16,903.15 $17,139.09 +$360.25
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $302.75 56 $16,954.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 1:05pm ET $309.29 56 $17,320.24 $17,505.27 +$366.18
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 1:45pm ET $309.24 56 $17,317.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:50am ET $315.48 56 $17,666.88 $17,854.60 +$349.33
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:50am ET $311.25 57 $17,741.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:50am ET $302.98 57 $17,270.14 $17,383.49 $-471.11
(-2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 10:50am ET $304.55 57 $17,359.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 10:35am ET $310.85 57 $17,718.45 $17,742.59 +$359.10
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:35am ET $317.01 55 $17,435.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:50am ET $307.42 55 $16,908.10 $17,215.14 $-527.45
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:55am ET $311.70 55 $17,143.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:45am ET $319.57 55 $17,576.08 $17,647.73 +$432.59
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:20am ET $315.07 56 $17,643.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:50am ET $321.74 56 $18,017.72 $18,021.81 +$374.08
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:45am ET $324.14 55 $17,827.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $317.15 55 $17,443.25 $17,637.36 $-384.45
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $315.37 55 $17,345.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 10:55am ET $321.98 55 $17,708.95 $18,000.96 +$363.60
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 11:40am ET $334.90 53 $17,749.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 11:40am ET $332.99 53 $17,648.47 $17,899.73 $-101.23
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $335.74 53 $17,794.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $342.61 53 $18,158.59 $18,264.11 +$364.38
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,264.11
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,264.11
Total Return: +82.64%
Back to Rebel Contraire