Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:53:19

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 8.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 8.4

30-Day Momentum

9
-3.9%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.1 Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,208.75
Current Value
$5,988.43
Period P&L
$-220.32
Max Drawdown
-41.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
17 / 11
Best Trade
+4.55%
Worst Trade
-6.25%
Avg Trade Return
-0.05%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$343,061.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-220.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$-220.32
Gross Return
-3.55%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.55%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $6,208.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:10am ET $125.80 49 $6,164.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:50am ET $128.39 49 $6,291.11 $6,302.08 +$126.91
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 10:50am ET $128.01 49 $6,272.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:35am ET $123.15 49 $6,034.35 $6,064.18 $-237.90
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $133.19 45 $5,993.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:35am ET $136.52 45 $6,143.62 $6,214.26 +$150.07
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:50am ET $135.61 45 $6,102.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $141.78 45 $6,380.10 $6,491.91 +$277.65
(+4.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $139.10 46 $6,398.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $130.40 46 $5,998.40 $6,091.94 $-399.97
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:50am ET $139.71 43 $6,007.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 2:45pm ET $135.15 43 $5,811.24 $5,895.86 $-196.08
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 2:50pm ET $138.48 42 $5,815.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $132.07 42 $5,546.94 $5,626.85 $-269.01
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 1:10pm ET $138.24 40 $5,529.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 12:20pm ET $141.73 40 $5,669.20 $5,766.45 +$139.60
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $143.98 40 $5,759.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $139.65 40 $5,586.00 $5,593.25 $-173.20
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 3:35pm ET $137.93 40 $5,517.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $141.55 40 $5,662.00 $5,738.05 +$144.80
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:50am ET $153.58 37 $5,682.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 2:45pm ET $156.79 37 $5,801.23 $5,856.82 +$118.77
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 3:05pm ET $163.87 35 $5,735.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:45am ET $167.16 35 $5,850.77 $5,972.06 +$115.24
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:55am ET $163.62 36 $5,890.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $170.43 36 $6,135.66 $6,217.40 +$245.34
(+4.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $163.56 38 $6,215.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 1:20pm ET $167.15 38 $6,351.89 $6,354.01 +$136.61
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $170.01 37 $6,290.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $160.78 37 $5,948.86 $6,012.68 $-341.33
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 11:05am ET $172.96 34 $5,880.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:40am ET $176.75 34 $6,009.50 $6,141.71 +$129.03
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:40am ET $176.66 34 $6,006.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $183.13 34 $6,226.42 $6,361.69 +$219.98
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $176.22 36 $6,343.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 2:15pm ET $170.72 36 $6,145.92 $6,163.69 $-198.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 2:15pm ET $175.93 35 $6,157.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:45am ET $179.73 35 $6,290.55 $6,296.51 +$132.82
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:00am ET $184.20 34 $6,262.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:50am ET $188.16 34 $6,397.44 $6,431.15 +$134.64
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:15pm ET $186.65 34 $6,345.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $191.32 34 $6,505.05 $6,590.27 +$159.12
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:50am ET $187.26 35 $6,554.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:25pm ET $191.05 35 $6,686.92 $6,722.92 +$132.65
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:05am ET $188.32 35 $6,591.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $192.93 35 $6,752.55 $6,884.09 +$161.17
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:40am ET $189.24 36 $6,812.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $178.00 36 $6,408.00 $6,479.63 $-404.46
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $178.75 36 $6,435.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 2:55pm ET $182.49 36 $6,569.64 $6,614.27 +$134.64
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $193.93 34 $6,593.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $187.17 34 $6,363.78 $6,384.43 $-229.84
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $188.60 33 $6,223.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:25am ET $182.48 33 $6,021.84 $6,182.47 $-201.96
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:25am ET $183.10 33 $6,042.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $177.22 33 $5,848.26 $5,988.43 $-194.04
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,988.43
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,011.57
Total Return: -40.12%
Back to Rebel Contraire