AMC Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 36 trades in period
+3.62%
Last 3 Months Return
$3,773.53
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$3,641.90
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality
9.4/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 9.3
30-Day Momentum
53
+10.2%
30d Return
73%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 59.1
Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+44 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$3,641.90
Current Value
$3,773.53
Period P&L
$131.66
Max Drawdown
-57.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
20 /
16
Best Trade
+12.50%
Worst Trade
-4.78%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
23.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$252,519.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$131.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$131.66
Gross Return
+3.62%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.62%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $3,641.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 10:45am ET | $1.78 | 2,045 | $3,640.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 12:15pm ET | $1.82 | 2,045 | $3,716.17 | $3,717.94 |
+$76.07 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $2.16 | 1,721 | $3,717.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $2.08 | 1,721 | $3,579.85 | $3,580.26 |
$-137.68 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $2.01 | 1,785 | $3,578.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 1:30pm ET | $1.93 | 1,785 | $3,453.97 | $3,455.31 |
$-124.95 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 10:05am ET | $1.89 | 1,823 | $3,454.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $1.82 | 1,823 | $3,308.75 | $3,309.47 |
$-145.84 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $1.67 | 1,981 | $3,308.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:15pm ET | $1.72 | 1,981 | $3,407.32 | $3,408.52 |
+$99.05 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.5h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 2:30pm ET | $1.89 | 1,798 | $3,407.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 3:05pm ET | $1.95 | 1,798 | $3,506.10 | $3,507.41 |
+$98.89 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 12:40pm ET | $1.90 | 1,846 | $3,507.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $1.84 | 1,846 | $3,396.64 | $3,396.65 |
$-110.76 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 1:05pm ET | $1.99 | 1,711 | $3,396.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1.92 | 1,711 | $3,288.54 | $3,288.86 |
$-107.79 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.99 | 1,652 | $3,287.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $2.03 | 1,652 | $3,353.56 | $3,354.94 |
+$66.08 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $1.96 | 1,711 | $3,353.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.20 | 1,711 | $3,772.75 | $3,774.13 |
+$419.19 (+12.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:50am ET | $2.40 | 1,569 | $3,773.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $2.33 | 1,569 | $3,658.75 | $3,659.44 |
$-114.69 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $2.30 | 1,591 | $3,659.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $2.19 | 1,591 | $3,484.29 | $3,484.43 |
$-175.01 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $2.29 | 1,524 | $3,482.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 11:30am ET | $2.34 | 1,524 | $3,573.17 | $3,575.26 |
+$90.83 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 11:40am ET | $2.34 | 1,531 | $3,574.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 2:25pm ET | $2.38 | 1,531 | $3,651.43 | $3,651.81 |
+$76.55 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 3:45pm ET | $2.69 | 1,359 | $3,651.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 1:30pm ET | $2.75 | 1,359 | $3,737.25 | $3,737.56 |
+$85.75 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET | $2.68 | 1,394 | $3,735.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 10:40am ET | $2.74 | 1,394 | $3,819.56 | $3,821.20 |
+$83.64 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.80 | 1,364 | $3,819.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $2.71 | 1,364 | $3,696.44 | $3,698.58 |
$-122.62 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $2.68 | 1,380 | $3,698.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $2.57 | 1,380 | $3,546.74 | $3,546.92 |
$-151.66 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $2.49 | 1,424 | $3,545.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 10:15am ET | $2.41 | 1,424 | $3,438.96 | $3,439.98 |
$-106.94 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:30am ET | $2.43 | 1,415 | $3,438.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 12:25pm ET | $2.48 | 1,415 | $3,516.27 | $3,517.80 |
+$77.82 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 12:25pm ET | $2.60 | 1,353 | $3,517.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 1:15pm ET | $2.52 | 1,353 | $3,402.80 | $3,402.80 |
$-115.00 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $2.44 | 1,391 | $3,400.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $2.37 | 1,391 | $3,289.72 | $3,291.80 |
$-111.00 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 12:20pm ET | $2.57 | 1,283 | $3,290.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.48 | 1,283 | $3,188.25 | $3,189.16 |
$-102.64 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 12:30pm ET | $2.54 | 1,254 | $3,188.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.67 | 1,254 | $3,354.45 | $3,355.06 |
+$165.90 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 12:30pm ET | $2.54 | 1,254 | $3,188.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.65 | 1,254 | $3,329.37 | $3,495.88 |
+$140.82 (+4.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 10:05am ET | $2.69 | 1,300 | $3,494.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $2.74 | 1,300 | $3,565.25 | $3,567.12 |
+$71.24 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 12:25pm ET | $2.64 | 1,349 | $3,564.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 2:45pm ET | $2.56 | 1,349 | $3,453.44 | $3,455.83 |
$-111.29 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 3:35pm ET | $2.64 | 1,306 | $3,454.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $2.70 | 1,306 | $3,532.73 | $3,534.19 |
+$78.36 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 11:30am ET | $2.73 | 1,294 | $3,532.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 3:35pm ET | $2.63 | 1,294 | $3,403.22 | $3,404.79 |
$-129.40 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $2.54 | 1,343 | $3,404.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $2.59 | 1,343 | $3,478.37 | $3,478.65 |
+$73.86 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 11:25am ET | $2.49 | 1,397 | $3,478.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 2:10pm ET | $2.41 | 1,397 | $3,366.63 | $3,366.75 |
$-111.90 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 2:25pm ET | $2.45 | 1,372 | $3,364.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:45am ET | $2.51 | 1,372 | $3,443.72 | $3,445.91 |
+$79.16 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 11:25am ET | $2.62 | 1,315 | $3,445.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 1:00pm ET | $2.68 | 1,315 | $3,530.77 | $3,531.39 |
+$85.48 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 2:30pm ET | $2.70 | 1,307 | $3,528.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $2.77 | 1,307 | $3,613.86 | $3,616.35 |
+$84.96 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 10:50am ET | $2.91 | 1,240 | $3,614.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 10:15am ET | $2.98 | 1,240 | $3,695.20 | $3,696.95 |
+$80.60 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 10:55am ET | $2.73 | 1,353 | $3,694.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 2:35pm ET | $2.79 | 1,353 | $3,771.49 | $3,773.53 |
+$76.58 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$3,773.53
Net Profit/Loss:
$-6,226.47
Total Return:
-62.26%