AMD Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 36 trades in period
+27.99%
Last 3 Months Return
$16,544.54
Current Value
69%
Win Rate
$12,926.58
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
32
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.1/35
Total Return
14.9/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
32.3/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 32.1
30-Day Momentum
69
+18.9%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
10
Trades
2.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 78.7
Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+37 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,926.58
Current Value
$16,544.54
Period P&L
$3,617.98
Max Drawdown
-52.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
25 /
11
Best Trade
+7.48%
Worst Trade
-8.94%
Avg Trade Return
+0.77%
Avg Hold Time
1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$956,741.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,617.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,617.98
Gross Return
+27.99%
Net Return (after fees)
+27.99%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,926.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $513.92 | 25 | $12,848.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $544.37 | 25 | $13,609.25 | $13,687.81 |
+$761.25 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 10:40am ET | $516.90 | 26 | $13,439.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $531.26 | 26 | $13,812.76 | $14,061.30 |
+$373.49 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $547.84 | 25 | $13,696.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 10:20am ET | $559.31 | 25 | $13,982.75 | $14,347.93 |
+$286.63 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 11:45am ET | $551.00 | 26 | $14,326.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $527.99 | 26 | $13,727.87 | $13,749.79 |
$-598.13 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $566.75 | 24 | $13,602.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $516.08 | 24 | $12,385.80 | $12,533.59 |
$-1,216.20 (-8.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $514.00 | 24 | $12,336.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $537.96 | 24 | $12,911.04 | $13,108.63 |
+$575.04 (+4.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $549.95 | 23 | $12,648.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $531.11 | 23 | $12,215.53 | $12,675.31 |
$-433.32 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $549.79 | 23 | $12,645.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 11:05am ET | $563.98 | 23 | $12,971.54 | $13,001.56 |
+$326.25 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
40m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 12:10pm ET | $512.82 | 25 | $12,820.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 1:15pm ET | $523.76 | 25 | $13,094.00 | $13,275.06 |
+$273.50 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 1:20pm ET | $497.02 | 26 | $12,922.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $470.62 | 26 | $12,236.12 | $12,588.66 |
$-686.40 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $511.89 | 24 | $12,285.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $526.61 | 24 | $12,638.64 | $12,941.95 |
+$353.28 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 11:20am ET | $555.34 | 23 | $12,772.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 11:25am ET | $537.46 | 23 | $12,361.47 | $12,530.59 |
$-411.36 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $534.72 | 23 | $12,298.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $517.28 | 23 | $11,897.44 | $12,129.48 |
$-401.11 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $443.94 | 27 | $11,986.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 10:45am ET | $453.37 | 27 | $12,240.99 | $12,384.09 |
+$254.61 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 11:15am ET | $430.04 | 28 | $12,041.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 2:00pm ET | $440.55 | 28 | $12,335.40 | $12,678.37 |
+$294.28 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 3:25pm ET | $488.65 | 25 | $12,216.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $509.48 | 25 | $12,736.88 | $13,199.00 |
+$520.63 (+4.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $463.71 | 28 | $12,983.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 10:25am ET | $474.99 | 28 | $13,299.72 | $13,514.84 |
+$315.84 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 10:40am ET | $516.25 | 26 | $13,422.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 1:40pm ET | $526.77 | 26 | $13,695.94 | $13,788.28 |
+$273.44 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 3:00pm ET | $486.80 | 28 | $13,630.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $471.14 | 28 | $13,192.06 | $13,349.94 |
$-438.34 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $486.47 | 27 | $13,134.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $471.38 | 27 | $12,727.26 | $12,942.51 |
$-407.43 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $465.70 | 27 | $12,573.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 3:35pm ET | $475.02 | 27 | $12,825.47 | $13,194.22 |
+$251.71 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 3:40pm ET | $482.11 | 27 | $13,016.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $494.33 | 27 | $13,346.91 | $13,524.16 |
+$329.94 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 10:20am ET | $501.15 | 26 | $13,029.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $512.38 | 26 | $13,321.75 | $13,816.01 |
+$291.85 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:55am ET | $481.25 | 28 | $13,475.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:15am ET | $462.68 | 28 | $12,955.04 | $13,296.05 |
$-519.96 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $465.11 | 28 | $13,023.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $476.35 | 28 | $13,337.66 | $13,610.49 |
+$314.44 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $455.89 | 29 | $13,220.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $477.38 | 29 | $13,844.02 | $14,233.70 |
+$623.21 (+4.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 10:10am ET | $483.73 | 29 | $14,028.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 12:00pm ET | $467.65 | 29 | $13,561.99 | $13,767.52 |
$-466.18 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 12:00pm ET | $465.36 | 29 | $13,495.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $443.55 | 29 | $12,862.81 | $13,134.89 |
$-632.63 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $464.91 | 28 | $13,017.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 12:40pm ET | $475.24 | 28 | $13,306.76 | $13,424.30 |
+$289.41 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 1:45pm ET | $509.28 | 26 | $13,241.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $519.92 | 26 | $13,518.05 | $13,701.07 |
+$276.77 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 10:20am ET | $505.94 | 27 | $13,660.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $518.28 | 27 | $13,993.43 | $14,034.12 |
+$333.05 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 10:05am ET | $484.62 | 28 | $13,569.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 1:20pm ET | $494.95 | 28 | $13,858.60 | $14,323.36 |
+$289.24 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 1:40pm ET | $503.38 | 28 | $14,094.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $519.12 | 28 | $14,535.36 | $14,764.08 |
+$440.72 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 10:10am ET | $534.89 | 27 | $14,442.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 11:50am ET | $546.82 | 27 | $14,764.14 | $15,086.19 |
+$322.11 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 12:25pm ET | $543.24 | 27 | $14,667.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $583.88 | 27 | $15,764.76 | $16,183.47 |
+$1,097.28 (+7.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $613.44 | 26 | $15,949.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $627.33 | 26 | $16,310.45 | $16,544.54 |
+$361.07 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,544.54
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,544.54
Total Return:
+65.45%