Compendium › Rebel Contraire › AMGN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMGN
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 24 trades in period

+8.67%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,103.21
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$12,057.92
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:38:45

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.2/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 31.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 31.7

30-Day Momentum

12
-6.1%
30d Return
56%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.4 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,057.92
Current Value
$13,103.21
Period P&L
$1,045.28
Max Drawdown
-20.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
16 / 8
Best Trade
+2.79%
Worst Trade
-7.88%
Avg Trade Return
+0.41%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$616,015.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,045.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,045.28
Gross Return
+8.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,057.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:40am ET $347.25 34 $11,806.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:20pm ET $354.31 34 $12,046.54 $12,222.47 +$240.04
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:10pm ET $359.28 34 $12,215.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 12:10pm ET $361.64 34 $12,295.76 $12,302.71 +$80.24
(+0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET $364.62 33 $12,032.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $374.25 33 $12,350.25 $12,620.50 +$317.79
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $363.98 34 $12,375.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET $358.35 34 $12,183.73 $12,428.99 $-191.51
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:25am ET $356.10 34 $12,107.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET $363.70 34 $12,365.97 $12,687.56 +$258.57
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:00am ET $375.44 33 $12,389.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $363.92 33 $12,009.52 $12,307.57 $-380.00
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $366.04 33 $12,079.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:35am ET $375.27 33 $12,383.91 $12,612.16 +$304.59
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 11:25am ET $378.70 33 $12,497.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $388.24 33 $12,811.92 $12,926.98 +$314.82
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:05am ET $394.74 32 $12,631.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $379.74 32 $12,151.84 $12,447.14 $-479.84
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:00am ET $380.72 32 $12,183.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $389.50 32 $12,464.00 $12,728.10 +$280.96
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 11:10am ET $383.17 33 $12,644.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $393.36 33 $12,980.88 $13,064.53 +$336.43
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:55am ET $405.95 32 $12,990.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $414.10 32 $13,251.04 $13,325.01 +$260.48
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 12:40pm ET $413.53 32 $13,233.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $412.99 32 $13,215.68 $13,307.60 $-17.41
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 10:30am ET $424.23 31 $13,151.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET $436.06 31 $13,517.86 $13,674.18 +$366.58
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:00am ET $436.13 31 $13,519.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $445.10 31 $13,798.10 $13,952.41 +$278.23
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:00am ET $436.13 31 $13,519.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $441.50 31 $13,686.42 $14,118.96 +$166.55
(+1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:35am ET $440.25 32 $14,087.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $426.77 32 $13,656.64 $13,687.68 $-431.28
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 10:25am ET $433.77 31 $13,446.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $444.38 31 $13,775.78 $14,016.75 +$329.06
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:35am ET $440.25 32 $14,087.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:35am ET $442.70 32 $14,166.56 $14,095.39 +$78.64
(+0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:45pm ET $437.78 32 $14,008.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $403.29 32 $12,905.28 $12,991.71 $-1,103.68
(-7.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:15am ET $393.93 32 $12,605.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $382.02 32 $12,224.80 $12,610.59 $-381.12
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 1:10pm ET $379.33 33 $12,517.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $377.70 33 $12,464.10 $12,556.80 $-53.79
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $380.23 33 $12,547.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $389.04 33 $12,838.32 $12,847.53 +$290.73
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:05am ET $398.99 32 $12,767.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 11:00am ET $406.98 32 $13,023.36 $13,103.21 +$255.68
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
55m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,103.21
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,103.21
Total Return: +31.03%
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