Compendium › Rebel Contraire › AVGO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AVGO
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 24 trades in period

-22.83%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,225.06
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$15,841.91
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:41:58

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.3/35
Total Return
11.9/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 27.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 27.5

30-Day Momentum

6
-6.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,841.91
Current Value
$12,225.06
Period P&L
$-3,616.81
Max Drawdown
-21.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.33

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
10 / 14
Best Trade
+4.39%
Worst Trade
-5.52%
Avg Trade Return
-1.02%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$659,260.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,616.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,616.81
Gross Return
-22.83%
Net Return (after fees)
-22.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $15,841.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:45am ET $384.27 41 $15,755.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $368.14 41 $15,093.74 $15,129.70 $-661.33
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:05am ET $365.20 41 $14,973.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 1:05pm ET $372.55 41 $15,274.55 $15,430.85 +$301.15
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $374.72 41 $15,363.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $363.17 41 $14,889.97 $14,957.30 $-473.55
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:25pm ET $375.08 39 $14,628.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:40am ET $362.83 39 $14,150.18 $14,479.36 $-477.94
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 11:05am ET $387.23 37 $14,327.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $400.66 37 $14,824.42 $14,976.27 +$496.91
(+3.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:40am ET $396.77 37 $14,680.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $384.62 37 $14,230.94 $14,526.72 $-449.55
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 3:20pm ET $390.35 37 $14,442.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 12:55pm ET $378.60 37 $14,008.20 $14,091.97 $-434.75
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 1:40pm ET $375.38 37 $13,889.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 12:05pm ET $383.23 37 $14,179.51 $14,382.42 +$290.45
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 2:00pm ET $385.67 37 $14,269.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 11:55am ET $393.82 37 $14,571.34 $14,684.16 +$301.73
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $390.54 37 $14,449.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:25am ET $377.33 37 $13,961.03 $14,195.20 $-488.95
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:40am ET $396.77 37 $14,680.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $381.86 37 $14,128.64 $13,643.35 $-551.85
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 11:15am ET $385.98 35 $13,509.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $402.92 35 $14,102.03 $14,236.07 +$592.72
(+4.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET $419.35 33 $13,838.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $429.19 33 $14,163.27 $14,560.84 +$324.77
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 10:25am ET $429.60 33 $14,176.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 2:15pm ET $416.50 33 $13,744.50 $14,128.54 $-432.30
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 3:05pm ET $416.46 33 $13,743.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 9:50am ET $399.80 33 $13,193.47 $13,578.66 $-549.88
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 10:00am ET $393.31 34 $13,372.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET $381.31 34 $12,964.54 $13,170.66 $-408.00
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:45am ET $362.52 36 $13,050.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $370.67 36 $13,344.12 $13,464.06 +$293.40
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $361.65 37 $13,381.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 12:10pm ET $350.62 37 $12,972.94 $13,055.95 $-408.11
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:30pm ET $368.80 35 $12,908.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $369.53 35 $12,933.55 $13,081.50 +$25.55
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:55pm ET $367.20 35 $12,852.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $346.93 35 $12,142.55 $12,372.05 $-709.45
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:55am ET $357.09 34 $12,141.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $368.92 34 $12,543.45 $12,774.44 +$402.39
(+3.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET $362.60 35 $12,691.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $349.22 35 $12,222.70 $12,306.14 $-468.30
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:00am ET $344.08 35 $12,042.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $352.42 35 $12,334.53 $12,597.87 +$291.73
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 12:40pm ET $360.17 34 $12,245.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $349.20 34 $11,872.97 $12,225.06 $-372.81
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,225.06
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,225.06
Total Return: +22.25%
Back to Rebel Contraire