Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:14:21

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

59
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
25.2/35
Total Return
16.6/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 59.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 59.3

30-Day Momentum

4
-6.9%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-55 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,930.56
Current Value
$19,913.43
Period P&L
$-17.14
Max Drawdown
-13.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
9 / 10
Best Trade
+3.51%
Worst Trade
-3.51%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$776,346.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-17.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$-17.14
Gross Return
-0.09%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $19,930.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 11:50am ET $343.02 57 $19,552.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 10:05am ET $350.92 57 $20,002.44 $20,211.58 +$450.30
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:15pm ET $342.92 58 $19,889.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 12:00pm ET $349.83 58 $20,290.28 $20,612.50 +$400.92
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:55am ET $352.51 58 $20,445.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $341.89 58 $19,829.62 $19,996.83 $-615.67
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 11:10am ET $342.67 58 $19,874.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $351.83 58 $20,406.43 $20,528.40 +$531.57
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 10:25am ET $356.35 57 $20,311.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $355.27 57 $20,250.39 $20,466.84 $-61.56
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $351.28 58 $20,374.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:00am ET $339.08 58 $19,666.35 $19,758.95 $-707.89
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:15am ET $320.41 61 $19,545.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $331.64 61 $20,230.34 $20,444.28 +$685.33
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $334.19 61 $20,385.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $340.04 61 $20,742.14 $20,800.83 +$356.55
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:50am ET $344.54 60 $20,672.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $339.98 60 $20,398.50 $20,526.93 $-273.90
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:05am ET $340.52 60 $20,431.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $340.20 60 $20,412.00 $20,507.43 $-19.50
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:25am ET $337.52 60 $20,251.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 11:05am ET $344.36 60 $20,661.60 $20,917.83 +$410.40
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:15am ET $333.90 62 $20,701.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $341.46 62 $21,170.83 $21,386.85 +$469.02
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:15am ET $333.90 62 $20,701.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $335.86 62 $20,823.01 $21,508.06 +$121.21
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $334.02 64 $21,377.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $326.68 64 $20,907.52 $21,038.30 $-469.76
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $334.02 64 $21,377.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $330.65 64 $21,161.60 $20,822.62 $-215.68
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:40am ET $326.36 63 $20,560.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:40am ET $323.01 63 $20,349.63 $20,611.57 $-211.05
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $320.89 64 $20,536.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 12:50pm ET $328.12 64 $20,999.68 $21,074.29 +$462.72
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:25pm ET $324.88 64 $20,792.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $313.46 64 $20,061.76 $20,343.73 $-730.56
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $312.55 65 $20,315.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:25pm ET $305.93 65 $19,885.45 $19,913.43 $-430.30
(-2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,913.43
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,913.43
Total Return: +99.13%
Back to Rebel Contraire