Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:30:59

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.5 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 10.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.6

30-Day Momentum

6
-2.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,940
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,574.79
Current Value
$9,754.66
Period P&L
$179.90
Max Drawdown
-32.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
12 / 9
Best Trade
+4.56%
Worst Trade
-4.40%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$410,315.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$179.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$179.90
Gross Return
+1.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BIIB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,574.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 2:20pm ET $200.32 47 $9,414.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET $205.27 47 $9,647.57 $9,812.93 +$232.77
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:30am ET $211.32 46 $9,720.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $216.77 46 $9,971.42 $10,063.63 +$250.70
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:20am ET $213.85 47 $10,050.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:35am ET $218.50 47 $10,269.49 $10,282.17 +$218.54
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:00pm ET $212.37 48 $10,193.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $203.02 48 $9,744.96 $9,833.37 $-448.80
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET $198.78 49 $9,740.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 11:50am ET $202.95 49 $9,944.55 $10,037.70 +$204.33
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 1:40pm ET $194.90 51 $9,939.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $188.11 51 $9,593.61 $9,691.41 $-346.29
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:25am ET $200.41 48 $9,619.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 11:00am ET $204.73 48 $9,827.04 $9,898.53 +$207.12
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
35m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 11:10am ET $209.78 47 $9,859.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:50am ET $202.84 47 $9,533.48 $9,572.35 $-326.18
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 11:40am ET $201.30 47 $9,461.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $202.12 47 $9,499.64 $9,610.89 +$38.54
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 10:30am ET $202.74 47 $9,528.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 3:45pm ET $206.97 47 $9,727.59 $9,809.70 +$198.81
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:40am ET $205.71 47 $9,668.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:40am ET $201.10 47 $9,451.70 $9,592.80 $-216.90
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:45am ET $208.14 46 $9,574.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:45am ET $206.92 46 $9,518.32 $9,536.68 $-56.12
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 12:30pm ET $205.56 46 $9,455.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $214.94 46 $9,887.24 $9,968.16 +$431.48
(+4.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:35am ET $208.83 47 $9,815.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 10:50am ET $213.45 47 $10,032.15 $10,185.30 +$217.14
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:55am ET $218.54 46 $10,052.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 10:55am ET $214.49 46 $9,866.54 $9,999.00 $-186.30
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:55am ET $218.54 46 $10,052.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $219.06 46 $10,076.76 $10,022.92 +$23.92
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $221.12 45 $9,950.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:05pm ET $216.35 45 $9,735.75 $9,808.27 $-214.65
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $221.12 45 $9,950.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:35am ET $224.25 45 $10,091.25 $9,949.12 +$140.85
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 2:25pm ET $220.68 45 $9,930.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $211.90 45 $9,535.72 $9,554.25 $-394.87
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:45am ET $213.02 44 $9,372.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $217.59 44 $9,573.96 $9,755.33 +$201.08
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:00am ET $215.93 45 $9,716.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $215.91 45 $9,716.17 $9,754.66 $-0.67
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,754.66
Net Profit/Loss: $-245.34
Total Return: -2.45%
Back to Rebel Contraire