Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:37:09

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.0/35
Total Return
11.5/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 25.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 25.2

30-Day Momentum

3
-3.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,268.36
Current Value
$12,299.50
Period P&L
$3,031.21
Max Drawdown
-39.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.57

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
15 / 6
Best Trade
+8.91%
Worst Trade
-3.72%
Avg Trade Return
+1.43%
Avg Hold Time
4.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$483,064.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,031.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,031.21
Gross Return
+32.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+32.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,268.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 12:45pm ET $54.99 168 $9,238.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 10:00am ET $56.15 168 $9,432.36 $9,462.35 +$194.04
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 11:40am ET $57.29 165 $9,453.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $58.55 165 $9,660.75 $9,669.42 +$207.08
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 12:45pm ET $54.99 168 $9,238.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $57.24 168 $9,616.32 $10,047.42 +$378.00
(+4.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:15am ET $57.96 173 $10,027.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $57.83 173 $10,003.73 $10,024.07 $-23.35
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:20am ET $57.97 172 $9,970.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:50am ET $59.17 172 $10,176.38 $10,229.61 +$205.54
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 11:35am ET $59.63 171 $10,196.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $61.00 171 $10,431.00 $10,463.88 +$234.27
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:30am ET $60.76 172 $10,449.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 11:05am ET $62.01 172 $10,665.72 $10,679.73 +$215.86
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $62.31 171 $10,654.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $64.03 171 $10,948.28 $10,973.56 +$293.83
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:15am ET $57.96 173 $10,027.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $63.13 173 $10,920.63 $11,867.11 +$893.55
(+8.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
23d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:45am ET $64.03 185 $11,846.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:25pm ET $65.41 185 $12,100.85 $12,121.73 +$254.62
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $64.84 186 $12,060.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $66.14 186 $12,302.04 $12,363.53 +$241.80
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 2:00pm ET $63.82 193 $12,317.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 12:15pm ET $65.11 193 $12,567.19 $12,613.46 +$249.93
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 12:40pm ET $63.71 197 $12,550.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 1:05pm ET $64.99 197 $12,803.03 $12,865.62 +$252.16
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 1:05pm ET $63.93 201 $12,849.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $65.46 201 $13,157.46 $13,173.15 +$307.53
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:30am ET $68.24 193 $13,169.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 10:45am ET $66.18 193 $12,772.74 $12,776.53 $-396.62
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $67.31 189 $12,721.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 1:10pm ET $67.68 189 $12,791.52 $12,846.46 +$69.93
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $67.04 191 $12,803.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $66.85 191 $12,768.35 $12,811.12 $-35.34
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $67.04 191 $12,803.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $67.58 191 $12,907.78 $12,915.21 +$104.09
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:15pm ET $66.93 192 $12,850.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $64.44 192 $12,372.48 $12,437.13 $-478.08
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET $64.37 193 $12,423.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 11:10am ET $64.26 193 $12,402.18 $12,415.90 $-21.23
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:55am ET $63.73 194 $12,363.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $63.13 194 $12,247.22 $12,299.50 $-116.40
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,299.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,299.50
Total Return: +22.99%
Back to Rebel Contraire