Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:19:44

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
65.5 neutral
20d Trend
+1.8%
5d Trend
+4.8%
EMA20 Dist
+2.7%
ATR%
1.4%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.3/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 43.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 43.2

30-Day Momentum

10
+0.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.6 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,917
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,404.09
Current Value
$14,062.77
Period P&L
$-341.34
Max Drawdown
-10.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
7 / 8
Best Trade
+2.11%
Worst Trade
-3.12%
Avg Trade Return
-0.19%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$418,534.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-341.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$-341.34
Gross Return
-2.37%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.37%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BRK-B Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,404.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:35pm ET $507.28 28 $14,203.84
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $500.76 28 $14,021.28 $14,309.75 $-182.56
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET $503.03 28 $14,084.84
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $500.32 28 $14,008.96 $14,233.87 $-75.88
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $492.57 28 $13,791.82
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 2:35pm ET $502.42 28 $14,067.76 $14,509.81 +$275.94
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 2:35pm ET $502.58 28 $14,072.24
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $486.90 28 $13,633.20 $14,070.77 $-439.04
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $475.17 29 $13,779.79
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:05am ET $485.20 29 $14,070.66 $14,361.64 +$290.87
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:45am ET $495.15 29 $14,359.35
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 11:45am ET $496.71 29 $14,404.73 $14,407.03 +$45.39
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:50am ET $490.40 29 $14,221.60
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 11:50am ET $492.71 29 $14,288.59 $14,474.02 +$66.99
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:50am ET $492.56 29 $14,284.24
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $483.12 29 $14,010.48 $14,200.26 $-273.76
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $479.14 29 $13,895.06
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $471.69 29 $13,679.01 $13,984.21 $-216.05
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:10am ET $477.15 29 $13,837.35
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $477.64 29 $13,851.70 $13,998.56 +$14.35
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $474.51 29 $13,760.79
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:25am ET $484.05 29 $14,037.45 $14,275.22 +$276.66
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:25am ET $483.54 29 $14,022.66
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:25am ET $475.24 29 $13,782.10 $14,034.66 $-240.56
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:30am ET $473.48 29 $13,731.06
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:30am ET $472.76 29 $13,709.90 $14,013.49 $-21.17
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:20am ET $467.55 29 $13,558.95
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:20am ET $474.81 29 $13,769.49 $14,224.03 +$210.54
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:00pm ET $478.56 29 $13,878.26
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $473.00 29 $13,717.00 $14,062.77 $-161.26
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,062.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,062.77
Total Return: +40.63%
Back to Rebel Contraire