Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-21 11:13:49

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
65.5 neutral
20d Trend
+1.8%
5d Trend
+4.8%
EMA20 Dist
+2.7%
ATR%
1.4%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
17.9/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 49.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 48.6

30-Day Momentum

27
+2.5%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 38.0 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,200.24
Current Value
$15,090.52
Period P&L
$890.26
Max Drawdown
-10.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
10 / 6
Best Trade
+2.37%
Worst Trade
-2.56%
Avg Trade Return
+0.28%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$452,772.96
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$890.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$890.26
Gross Return
+6.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BRK-B Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,200.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:50am ET $492.56 29 $14,284.24
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $483.12 29 $14,010.48 $14,200.26 $-273.76
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $479.14 29 $13,895.06
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $471.69 29 $13,679.01 $13,984.21 $-216.05
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:10am ET $477.15 29 $13,837.35
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $477.64 29 $13,851.70 $13,998.56 +$14.35
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $474.51 29 $13,760.79
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:25am ET $484.05 29 $14,037.45 $14,275.22 +$276.66
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:25am ET $483.54 29 $14,022.66
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:25am ET $475.24 29 $13,782.10 $14,034.66 $-240.56
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:30am ET $473.48 29 $13,731.06
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:30am ET $472.76 29 $13,709.90 $14,013.49 $-21.17
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:20am ET $467.55 29 $13,558.95
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:20am ET $474.81 29 $13,769.49 $14,224.03 +$210.54
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:00pm ET $478.56 29 $13,878.26
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $473.00 29 $13,717.00 $14,062.77 $-161.26
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
9 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:40am ET $467.36 30 $14,020.80
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $476.82 30 $14,304.60 $14,346.57 +$283.80
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
10 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 12:15pm ET $476.88 30 $14,306.40
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 12:20pm ET $486.51 30 $14,595.30 $14,635.47 +$288.90
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
11 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 3:15pm ET $485.01 30 $14,550.15
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 3:15pm ET $487.68 30 $14,630.40 $14,715.72 +$80.25
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 3:25pm ET $483.27 30 $14,498.10
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $485.28 30 $14,558.40 $14,776.02 +$60.30
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
13 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:45am ET $483.65 30 $14,509.50
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:45am ET $471.26 30 $14,137.75 $14,404.27 $-371.75
(-2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $470.80 30 $14,123.85
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $481.57 30 $14,447.10 $14,727.52 +$323.25
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:45am ET $488.13 30 $14,643.75
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:45am ET $488.80 30 $14,664.15 $14,747.92 +$20.40
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:50am ET $481.91 30 $14,457.30
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:25am ET $493.33 30 $14,799.90 $15,090.52 +$342.60
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,090.52
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,090.52
Total Return: +50.91%
Back to Rebel Contraire