Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:04:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.3 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-29.8%
EMA20 Dist
-27.1%
ATR%
8.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.8/10
Raw Quality 10.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 10.7

30-Day Momentum

76
+15.0%
30d Return
73%
Win Rate
15
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 75.7 Conf: 1.00×
Accelerating (+65 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,813
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$621.90
Current Value
$743.81
Period P&L
$-75.39
Max Drawdown
-95.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
74
Winners / Losers
48 / 26
Best Trade
+3.02%
Worst Trade
-5.46%
Avg Trade Return
+0.32%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$97,211.82
Estimated Fees
$243.03
Gross P&L
$-75.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$-318.42
Gross Return
-12.12%
Net Return (after fees)
-51.20%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 74 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $621.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 6:15pm ET $64,244.00 0 $642.59
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:00pm ET $62,181.96 0 $621.97 $618.81 $-23.79
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET $61,345.00 0 $618.81
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $63,112.00 0 $636.63 $633.49 +$14.69
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:10pm ET $64,771.29 0 $633.49
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET $66,725.76 0 $652.61 $649.39 +$15.90
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:15am ET $65,699.00 0 $649.39
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 8:15am ET $67,144.00 0 $663.68 $660.39 +$11.00
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:00am ET $66,956.64 0 $660.39
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:45am ET $68,313.00 0 $673.77 $670.43 +$10.04
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
48m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:05pm ET $70,442.17 0 $670.43
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2026 2:10am ET $67,902.55 0 $646.26 $642.97 $-27.46
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2026 2:15am ET $67,760.46 0 $642.97
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2026 7:15am ET $69,795.99 0 $662.29 $659.02 +$16.05
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2026 9:10am ET $68,947.97 0 $659.02
🔴 SELL Feb 8, 2026 3:30am ET $70,653.14 0 $675.32 $671.99 +$12.96
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 8, 2026 4:40am ET $70,069.51 0 $671.99
🔴 SELL Feb 8, 2026 8:55am ET $71,471.81 0 $685.44 $682.04 +$10.05
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 8, 2026 10:20am ET $71,149.66 0 $682.04
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 5:20am ET $68,991.61 0 $661.35 $658.00 $-24.05
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 5:25am ET $68,968.91 0 $658.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $70,484.47 0 $672.46 $669.13 +$11.13
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:55pm ET $70,576.51 0 $669.13
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 8:00am ET $68,434.17 0 $648.82 $645.52 $-23.61
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $69,064.95 0 $645.52
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $69,818.48 0 $652.57 $649.32 +$3.80
(+1.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
3h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $69,560.70 0 $649.32
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:35pm ET $67,433.68 0 $629.47 $629.47 $-23.05
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 1:15am ET $66,851.01 0 $629.47
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:10am ET $68,415.63 0 $644.20 $644.20 +$11.55
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 16, 2026 12:15pm ET $67,654.00 0 $644.20
🔴 SELL Feb 16, 2026 9:15pm ET $69,153.24 0 $658.48 $658.48 +$11.02
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 16, 2026 10:00pm ET $68,801.97 0 $658.48
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 1:45pm ET $66,340.00 0 $634.92 $634.92 $-26.80
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 3:20pm ET $66,145.50 0 $634.92
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 12:35am ET $67,838.60 0 $651.17 $651.17 +$13.04
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.4d held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 2:10am ET $67,780.10 0 $651.17
🔴 SELL Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET $65,416.60 0 $628.46 $628.46 $-25.91
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 22, 2026 8:15pm ET $65,331.70 0 $628.46
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:15pm ET $62,952.20 0 $605.57 $605.57 $-25.97
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 11:55pm ET $63,240.10 0 $605.57
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $64,519.90 0 $617.83 $617.83 +$9.20
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 6:50pm ET $64,081.10 0 $617.83
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 8:15pm ET $65,461.50 0 $631.14 $631.14 +$10.19
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:25pm ET $66,075.10 0 $631.14
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 10:35am ET $67,419.90 0 $643.99 $643.99 +$9.66
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.2h held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 12:55pm ET $68,636.70 0 $643.99
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 6:20am ET $66,481.90 0 $623.77 $623.77 $-23.39
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 6:40am ET $66,099.20 0 $623.77
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 1:35am ET $64,072.50 0 $604.64 $604.64 $-22.20
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 1:55am ET $63,276.30 0 $604.64
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 8:50am ET $64,586.70 0 $617.16 $617.16 +$9.47
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9h held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 9:30am ET $64,754.80 0 $617.16
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 1:55pm ET $66,077.40 0 $629.77 $629.77 +$9.49
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.4h held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 2:05pm ET $65,717.20 0 $629.77
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 5:35pm ET $67,482.00 0 $646.68 $646.68 +$13.72
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 6:35pm ET $66,897.00 0 $646.68
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET $68,317.40 0 $660.41 $660.41 +$10.46
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 11:55am ET $69,593.40 0 $660.41
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:40am ET $67,463.60 0 $640.20 $640.20 $-23.46
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 3:50am ET $67,080.10 0 $640.20
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:15am ET $68,486.90 0 $653.63 $653.63 +$10.19
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.4h held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:35am ET $68,346.20 0 $653.63
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:45am ET $69,980.00 0 $669.26 $669.25 +$12.32
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
16.2h held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 6:35am ET $71,033.00 0 $669.25
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:20am ET $72,495.00 0 $683.02 $683.02 +$10.39
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $73,065.90 0 $683.02
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:30pm ET $70,800.00 0 $661.84 $661.84 $-24.54
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 1:25pm ET $70,820.30 0 $661.84
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:05am ET $68,682.10 0 $641.86 $641.86 $-23.24
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7h held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 10:50am ET $68,416.90 0 $641.86
🔴 SELL Mar 8, 2026 6:00pm ET $65,747.00 0 $616.81 $616.81 $-28.19
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 8, 2026 7:35pm ET $66,236.10 0 $616.81
🔴 SELL Mar 8, 2026 11:15pm ET $67,641.40 0 $629.89 $629.89 +$9.97
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 12:40am ET $67,490.20 0 $629.89
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $68,993.00 0 $643.92 $643.92 +$10.84
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.8h held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 11:35am ET $68,834.30 0 $643.92
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:40pm ET $70,322.00 0 $657.84 $657.84 +$10.66
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.1h held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 11:00pm ET $70,053.50 0 $657.84
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 11:00am ET $71,760.30 0 $673.87 $673.87 +$12.70
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
12h held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $71,144.00 0 $673.87
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 6:45am ET $72,573.50 0 $687.41 $687.41 +$10.14
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 7:00am ET $72,421.80 0 $687.41
🔴 SELL Mar 15, 2026 11:35pm ET $73,990.70 0 $702.30 $702.30 +$11.42
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 2:10am ET $73,703.30 0 $702.30
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 8:10pm ET $75,406.30 0 $718.52 $718.52 +$12.68
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
18h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:40pm ET $75,653.40 0 $718.52
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 7:30am ET $73,232.50 0 $695.53 $695.53 $-26.53
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 7:35am ET $72,900.00 0 $695.53
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 4:05pm ET $70,625.40 0 $673.83 $673.83 $-25.13
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.5h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 5:30pm ET $71,200.10 0 $673.83
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:40am ET $68,915.10 0 $652.20 $652.20 $-24.94
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 12:05pm ET $69,269.40 0 $652.20
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 5:05pm ET $70,659.90 0 $665.30 $665.30 +$9.80
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $73,065.90 0 $683.02
🔴 SELL Mar 21, 2026 10:25pm ET $69,075.00 0 $645.71 $627.99 $-40.63
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.4d held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 21, 2026 11:50pm ET $69,300.60 0 $627.99
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 7:10am ET $71,222.00 0 $645.40 $645.40 +$14.23
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 8:05am ET $69,785.90 0 $645.40
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:45am ET $71,249.60 0 $658.94 $658.94 +$10.28
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:50am ET $71,148.30 0 $658.94
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 1:45pm ET $68,938.60 0 $638.47 $638.47 $-23.71
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 3:30pm ET $69,450.40 0 $638.47
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 8:40pm ET $70,896.60 0 $651.77 $651.77 +$10.07
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 8:55pm ET $70,824.70 0 $651.77
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:50pm ET $68,687.00 0 $632.10 $632.10 $-22.88
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 2:20pm ET $68,215.10 0 $632.10
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $66,115.90 0 $612.65 $612.65 $-22.56
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:25am ET $65,860.00 0 $612.65
🔴 SELL Mar 29, 2026 11:30pm ET $67,214.50 0 $625.25 $625.25 +$9.51
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5d held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 29, 2026 11:35pm ET $67,152.10 0 $625.25
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:25am ET $68,623.10 0 $638.95 $638.95 +$10.54
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:20am ET $68,858.10 0 $638.95
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:45pm ET $66,764.80 0 $619.53 $619.53 $-22.57
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:20pm ET $66,735.80 0 $619.53
🔴 SELL Apr 5, 2026 6:50pm ET $68,110.30 0 $632.29 $632.29 +$9.63
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 5, 2026 8:35pm ET $69,087.60 0 $632.29
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 6:35pm ET $70,929.80 0 $649.15 $649.15 +$13.66
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 8:00pm ET $71,915.60 0 $649.15
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 4:30pm ET $73,453.40 0 $663.03 $663.03 +$10.60
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 5:10pm ET $73,229.30 0 $663.03
🔴 SELL Apr 12, 2026 9:40am ET $70,989.60 0 $642.75 $642.75 $-23.54
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 12, 2026 9:45am ET $70,999.90 0 $642.75
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 1:30pm ET $72,561.30 0 $656.89 $656.89 +$10.89
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $72,160.30 0 $656.89
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 6:15pm ET $73,881.90 0 $672.56 $672.56 +$12.35
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 7:20pm ET $74,643.10 0 $672.56
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 5:30am ET $76,294.80 0 $687.44 $687.44 +$11.48
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.4d held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 6:10am ET $75,693.80 0 $687.44
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:55am ET $77,286.90 0 $701.91 $701.91 +$10.99
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:55am ET $77,793.80 0 $701.91
🔴 SELL Apr 19, 2026 2:10am ET $75,452.80 0 $680.79 $680.79 $-24.58
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 19, 2026 2:15am ET $75,335.80 0 $680.79
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 6:55am ET $76,850.10 0 $694.47 $694.47 +$10.25
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
68 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 7:05am ET $76,710.70 0 $694.47
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:25am ET $78,343.40 0 $709.25 $709.25 +$11.27
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
69 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:40am ET $78,015.60 0 $709.25
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 1:40am ET $77,751.40 0 $706.85 $706.85 $-5.94
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
70 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:05am ET $77,711.90 0 $706.85
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:10pm ET $75,163.20 0 $683.67 $683.67 $-26.66
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5d held
71 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 6:00pm ET $75,892.80 0 $683.67
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 4:25am ET $77,428.70 0 $697.51 $697.51 +$10.38
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.4d held
72 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 4:35am ET $77,385.80 0 $697.51
🔴 SELL May 3, 2026 4:25pm ET $78,946.50 0 $711.58 $711.58 +$10.54
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5d held
73 🟢 BUY May 3, 2026 6:25pm ET $78,984.70 0 $711.58
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:40pm ET $80,708.20 0 $727.11 $727.11 +$11.93
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
74 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:00am ET $80,838.50 0 $727.11
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 7:20am ET $82,695.10 0 $743.81 $743.81 +$13.02
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $743.81
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,256.19
Total Return: -92.56%
Back to Rebel Contraire