BTCUSD Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 61 trades in period
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
Quality Components
30-Day Momentum
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 61 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $531.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $73,065.90 | 0 | $683.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 21, 2026 10:25pm ET | $69,075.00 | 0 | $645.71 | $627.99 |
$-40.63 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.4d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 21, 2026 11:50pm ET | $69,300.60 | 0 | $627.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 7:10am ET | $71,222.00 | 0 | $645.40 | $645.40 |
+$14.23 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 8:05am ET | $69,785.90 | 0 | $645.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $71,249.60 | 0 | $658.94 | $658.94 |
+$10.28 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 10:50am ET | $71,148.30 | 0 | $658.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 1:45pm ET | $68,938.60 | 0 | $638.47 | $638.47 |
$-23.71 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 3:30pm ET | $69,450.40 | 0 | $638.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 8:40pm ET | $70,896.60 | 0 | $651.77 | $651.77 |
+$10.07 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 8:55pm ET | $70,824.70 | 0 | $651.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:50pm ET | $68,687.00 | 0 | $632.10 | $632.10 |
$-22.88 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 2:20pm ET | $68,215.10 | 0 | $632.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $66,115.90 | 0 | $612.65 | $612.65 |
$-22.56 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $65,860.00 | 0 | $612.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 29, 2026 11:30pm ET | $67,214.50 | 0 | $625.25 | $625.25 |
+$9.51 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.5d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 29, 2026 11:35pm ET | $67,152.10 | 0 | $625.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:25am ET | $68,623.10 | 0 | $638.95 | $638.95 |
+$10.54 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 3:20am ET | $68,858.10 | 0 | $638.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:45pm ET | $66,764.80 | 0 | $619.53 | $619.53 |
$-22.57 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 11:20pm ET | $66,735.80 | 0 | $619.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 5, 2026 6:50pm ET | $68,110.30 | 0 | $632.29 | $632.29 |
+$9.63 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 5, 2026 8:35pm ET | $69,087.60 | 0 | $632.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 6:35pm ET | $70,929.80 | 0 | $649.15 | $649.15 |
+$13.66 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 8:00pm ET | $71,915.60 | 0 | $649.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 4:30pm ET | $73,453.40 | 0 | $663.03 | $663.03 |
+$10.60 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 5:10pm ET | $73,229.30 | 0 | $663.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $70,989.60 | 0 | $642.75 | $642.75 |
$-23.54 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $70,999.90 | 0 | $642.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 1:30pm ET | $72,561.30 | 0 | $656.89 | $656.89 |
+$10.89 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 1:55pm ET | $72,160.30 | 0 | $656.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 6:15pm ET | $73,881.90 | 0 | $672.56 | $672.56 |
+$12.35 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 7:20pm ET | $74,643.10 | 0 | $672.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 5:30am ET | $76,294.80 | 0 | $687.44 | $687.44 |
+$11.48 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.4d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 6:10am ET | $75,693.80 | 0 | $687.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $77,286.90 | 0 | $701.91 | $701.91 |
+$10.99 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 10:55am ET | $77,793.80 | 0 | $701.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 19, 2026 2:10am ET | $75,452.80 | 0 | $680.79 | $680.79 |
$-24.58 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 19, 2026 2:15am ET | $75,335.80 | 0 | $680.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 6:55am ET | $76,850.10 | 0 | $694.47 | $694.47 |
+$10.25 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 7:05am ET | $76,710.70 | 0 | $694.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 1:25am ET | $78,343.40 | 0 | $709.25 | $709.25 |
+$11.27 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:40am ET | $78,015.60 | 0 | $709.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 1:40am ET | $77,751.40 | 0 | $706.85 | $706.85 |
$-5.94 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 2:05am ET | $77,711.90 | 0 | $706.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:10pm ET | $75,163.20 | 0 | $683.67 | $683.67 |
$-26.66 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 6:00pm ET | $75,892.80 | 0 | $683.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 4:25am ET | $77,428.70 | 0 | $697.51 | $697.51 |
+$10.38 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 4:35am ET | $77,385.80 | 0 | $697.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 3, 2026 4:25pm ET | $78,946.50 | 0 | $711.58 | $711.58 |
+$10.54 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.5d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 3, 2026 6:25pm ET | $78,984.70 | 0 | $711.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 10:40pm ET | $80,708.20 | 0 | $727.11 | $727.11 |
+$11.93 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:00am ET | $80,838.50 | 0 | $727.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 7:20am ET | $82,695.10 | 0 | $743.81 | $743.81 |
+$13.02 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 8:05am ET | $82,344.80 | 0 | $743.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 12:00pm ET | $79,850.10 | 0 | $721.28 | $721.28 |
$-26.20 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 12:40pm ET | $79,776.80 | 0 | $721.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 10, 2026 12:00pm ET | $81,407.00 | 0 | $736.02 | $736.02 |
+$11.10 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 10, 2026 12:25pm ET | $81,262.90 | 0 | $736.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 12:10pm ET | $78,742.70 | 0 | $713.19 | $713.19 |
$-26.45 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 4:30pm ET | $79,609.40 | 0 | $713.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 11:55am ET | $81,279.90 | 0 | $728.16 | $728.16 |
+$11.36 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 1:15pm ET | $81,593.00 | 0 | $728.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $79,040.60 | 0 | $705.38 | $705.38 |
$-26.36 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $78,960.30 | 0 | $705.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:30am ET | $76,577.10 | 0 | $684.09 | $684.09 |
$-24.76 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 10:35am ET | $76,277.80 | 0 | $684.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 8:50pm ET | $77,898.50 | 0 | $698.62 | $698.63 |
+$11.08 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 10:50pm ET | $77,899.10 | 0 | $698.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 6:45pm ET | $75,554.90 | 0 | $677.61 | $677.61 |
$-24.46 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 8:40pm ET | $75,167.00 | 0 | $677.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2026 4:40pm ET | $76,750.00 | 0 | $691.88 | $691.88 |
+$10.85 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2026 6:15pm ET | $76,551.50 | 0 | $691.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 6:15pm ET | $74,183.90 | 0 | $670.48 | $670.48 |
$-24.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 6:55pm ET | $74,352.00 | 0 | $670.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 8:10am ET | $72,000.00 | 0 | $649.27 | $649.27 |
$-24.51 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 8:50am ET | $72,076.00 | 0 | $649.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 3:05am ET | $69,799.90 | 0 | $628.77 | $628.77 |
$-23.70 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 4:50am ET | $69,704.90 | 0 | $628.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $67,588.20 | 0 | $609.68 | $609.68 |
$-22.19 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.5h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 11:25am ET | $67,458.90 | 0 | $609.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 3:50pm ET | $65,294.80 | 0 | $590.12 | $590.12 |
$-22.56 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 4:40pm ET | $65,103.40 | 0 | $590.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 8:35pm ET | $63,055.00 | 0 | $571.55 | $571.55 |
$-21.47 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 11:25am ET | $67,458.90 | 0 | $609.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30pm ET | $62,744.10 | 0 | $567.07 | $528.94 |
$-45.55 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:55pm ET | $62,099.90 | 0 | $528.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 10:45pm ET | $63,460.60 | 0 | $540.53 | $540.53 |
+$8.92 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
50m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 1:05am ET | $63,772.20 | 0 | $540.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 2:20am ET | $61,383.90 | 0 | $520.29 | $520.29 |
$-22.90 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 3:05am ET | $61,500.10 | 0 | $520.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 3:35am ET | $62,742.10 | 0 | $530.79 | $530.79 |
+$7.88 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 6:05am ET | $62,656.90 | 0 | $530.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $60,700.10 | 0 | $514.22 | $514.22 |
$-19.19 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $60,577.00 | 0 | $514.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 5:00pm ET | $61,798.50 | 0 | $524.59 | $524.59 |
+$7.77 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 1:05am ET | $63,772.20 | 0 | $540.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2026 12:25am ET | $60,137.30 | 0 | $509.72 | $493.78 |
$-33.43 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 6, 2026 1:05am ET | $59,876.80 | 0 | $493.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2026 2:05am ET | $61,100.30 | 0 | $503.87 | $503.87 |
+$7.60 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 6, 2026 3:25am ET | $60,848.30 | 0 | $503.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 7, 2026 2:35am ET | $62,106.10 | 0 | $514.29 | $514.29 |
+$7.87 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 7, 2026 2:55am ET | $62,025.20 | 0 | $514.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 7, 2026 6:15pm ET | $63,549.90 | 0 | $526.93 | $526.93 |
+$10.04 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.3h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 7, 2026 6:25pm ET | $62,913.90 | 0 | $526.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:05pm ET | $60,948.10 | 0 | $510.47 | $510.47 |
$-19.06 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 12:10pm ET | $60,941.80 | 0 | $510.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $62,255.50 | 0 | $521.47 | $521.47 |
+$8.42 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $62,036.20 | 0 | $521.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET | $63,381.00 | 0 | $532.77 | $532.77 |
+$8.67 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 2:10pm ET | $63,283.50 | 0 | $532.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2026 7:20pm ET | $64,549.90 | 0 | $543.43 | $543.43 |
+$7.97 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 57 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 13, 2026 7:45pm ET | $64,428.70 | 0 | $543.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 14, 2026 7:55pm ET | $65,725.40 | 0 | $554.37 | $554.37 |
+$8.19 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 58 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 14, 2026 8:40pm ET | $65,487.70 | 0 | $554.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:20am ET | $66,810.80 | 0 | $565.57 | $565.57 |
+$8.40 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.7h held |
|
| 59 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $66,761.30 | 0 | $565.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 7:00am ET | $64,728.30 | 0 | $548.35 | $548.35 |
$-20.01 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 60 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 7:05am ET | $64,573.10 | 0 | $548.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 12:25pm ET | $65,945.50 | 0 | $560.00 | $560.00 |
+$8.88 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held |
|
| 61 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 1:40pm ET | $65,874.80 | 0 | $560.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 12:20am ET | $63,811.40 | 0 | $542.46 | $542.46 |
$-20.30 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.7h held |