Compendium › Rebel Contraire › CMCSA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CMCSA
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 24 trades in period

+0.48%
Last 3 Months Return
$4,784.14
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$4,761.37
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:30:43

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 6.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 6.5

30-Day Momentum

6
-12.0%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$4,761.37
Current Value
$4,784.14
Period P&L
$22.78
Max Drawdown
-47.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
13 / 11
Best Trade
+2.97%
Worst Trade
-4.25%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$238,494.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$22.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$22.78
Gross Return
+0.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $4,761.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 3:40pm ET $22.64 210 $4,753.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 11:15am ET $23.17 210 $4,866.75 $4,868.46 +$113.40
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 12:45pm ET $24.67 197 $4,859.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $23.92 197 $4,713.22 $4,721.69 $-146.77
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:55am ET $23.53 200 $4,706.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:55am ET $24.07 200 $4,813.00 $4,828.69 +$107.00
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 11:15am ET $23.59 204 $4,813.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:40am ET $22.83 204 $4,656.30 $4,671.61 $-157.08
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:40am ET $23.58 198 $4,668.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:50am ET $24.15 198 $4,781.50 $4,784.27 +$112.66
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:15am ET $23.59 202 $4,764.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 11:40am ET $24.08 202 $4,865.17 $4,884.75 +$100.47
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 12:55pm ET $23.81 205 $4,880.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $23.78 205 $4,874.90 $4,879.62 $-5.12
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $22.55 216 $4,869.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $21.63 216 $4,672.08 $4,681.98 $-197.64
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 11:15am ET $23.02 203 $4,674.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $23.58 203 $4,787.75 $4,795.66 +$113.68
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:40am ET $23.58 198 $4,668.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $23.94 198 $4,740.12 $4,866.94 +$71.28
(+1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:20am ET $23.60 206 $4,861.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 2:15pm ET $24.08 206 $4,959.45 $4,964.79 +$97.85
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:15am ET $24.55 202 $4,958.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 10:45am ET $25.07 202 $5,063.13 $5,069.83 +$105.04
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 11:05am ET $25.31 200 $5,061.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 11:05am ET $25.30 200 $5,059.00 $5,067.23 $-2.60
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:10am ET $25.86 195 $5,043.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 11:00am ET $26.39 195 $5,146.05 $5,169.60 +$102.37
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 11:10am ET $25.75 200 $5,151.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $26.52 200 $5,303.98 $5,322.58 +$152.98
(+3.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $26.27 202 $5,307.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:50am ET $26.83 202 $5,420.67 $5,435.70 +$113.12
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $27.05 200 $5,409.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $26.78 200 $5,356.00 $5,382.70 $-53.00
(-1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $27.05 200 $5,409.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:35am ET $26.63 200 $5,326.00 $5,299.70 $-83.00
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:35am ET $26.41 200 $5,281.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:25am ET $25.44 200 $5,088.00 $5,105.82 $-193.88
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 11:40am ET $24.86 205 $5,097.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $25.39 205 $5,204.95 $5,213.44 +$107.62
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:45am ET $25.24 206 $5,199.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $24.42 206 $5,031.55 $5,045.55 $-167.89
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:40am ET $23.55 214 $5,038.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $22.55 214 $4,824.63 $4,831.55 $-214.00
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $22.55 214 $4,824.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:25am ET $23.03 214 $4,928.42 $4,935.34 +$103.79
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
40m held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:50am ET $22.83 216 $4,930.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:50am ET $22.13 216 $4,779.00 $4,784.14 $-151.20
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,784.14
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,215.86
Total Return: -52.16%
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