Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:12:34

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.3/35
Total Return
13.1/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 34.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 34.3

30-Day Momentum

6
-1.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$920.06
Current Value
$13,641.50
Period P&L
$1,344.17
Max Drawdown
-17.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
13 / 7
Best Trade
+5.25%
Worst Trade
-3.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.58%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$510,045.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,344.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,344.17
Gross Return
+146.10%
Net Return (after fees)
+146.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $920.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:45am ET $947.56 12 $11,370.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $955.26 12 $11,463.06 $12,376.59 +$92.34
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:45am ET $947.56 12 $11,370.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $952.01 12 $11,424.12 $12,429.99 +$53.40
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:00am ET $955.10 13 $12,416.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET $923.86 13 $12,010.18 $12,023.87 $-406.12
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET $908.00 13 $11,804.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $927.00 13 $12,051.00 $12,270.87 +$247.00
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $920.64 13 $11,968.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 12:40pm ET $939.19 13 $12,209.47 $12,512.02 +$241.15
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 12:55pm ET $934.90 13 $12,153.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $923.92 13 $12,010.94 $12,369.32 $-142.70
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:55am ET $931.24 13 $12,106.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:25am ET $949.92 13 $12,348.96 $12,612.16 +$242.84
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET $908.00 13 $11,804.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $955.68 13 $12,423.90 $13,232.06 +$619.90
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
20d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:35am ET $948.24 13 $12,327.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET $967.62 13 $12,579.06 $13,484.00 +$251.94
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:40am ET $938.31 14 $13,136.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $960.18 14 $13,442.52 $13,790.18 +$306.18
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 11:00am ET $946.94 14 $13,257.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 11:00am ET $946.04 14 $13,244.56 $13,777.58 $-12.60
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:25am ET $952.01 14 $13,328.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 11:00am ET $971.45 14 $13,600.30 $14,049.74 +$272.16
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 12:30pm ET $966.13 14 $13,525.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $931.15 14 $13,036.10 $13,560.02 $-489.72
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:55am ET $948.66 14 $13,281.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 11:50am ET $967.98 14 $13,551.72 $13,830.57 +$270.55
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:55am ET $948.66 14 $13,281.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:55am ET $955.81 14 $13,381.34 $13,930.74 +$100.17
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:55am ET $939.53 14 $13,153.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:55am ET $947.25 14 $13,261.50 $14,038.75 +$108.01
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:55am ET $939.53 14 $13,153.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $928.48 14 $12,998.72 $13,883.98 $-154.77
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:45am ET $915.93 15 $13,738.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:45am ET $900.95 15 $13,514.25 $13,659.28 $-224.70
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $899.58 15 $13,493.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET $918.91 15 $13,783.72 $13,949.30 +$290.02
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $911.59 15 $13,673.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $891.07 15 $13,366.05 $13,641.50 $-307.80
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,641.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,641.50
Total Return: +36.41%
Back to Rebel Contraire