Compendium › Rebel Contraire › CRM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CRM
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 27 trades in period

+3.28%
Last 3 Months Return
$6,039.48
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$5,847.59
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:22:10

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 10.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 10.6

30-Day Momentum

9
-6.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.9 Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,847.59
Current Value
$6,039.48
Period P&L
$191.89
Max Drawdown
-46.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
17 / 10
Best Trade
+3.76%
Worst Trade
-5.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$324,624.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$191.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$191.89
Gross Return
+3.28%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $5,847.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 10:30am ET $152.51 38 $5,795.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET $155.99 38 $5,927.81 $5,980.01 +$132.43
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:00am ET $160.28 37 $5,930.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:40am ET $155.27 37 $5,744.99 $5,794.64 $-185.37
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 12:15pm ET $164.74 35 $5,765.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 12:15pm ET $166.74 35 $5,835.90 $5,864.64 +$70.00
(+1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $170.67 34 $5,802.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:55am ET $165.07 34 $5,612.55 $5,674.41 $-190.23
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 10:10am ET $161.72 35 $5,660.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $166.01 35 $5,810.35 $5,824.56 +$150.15
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 11:55am ET $171.65 33 $5,664.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $164.15 33 $5,416.95 $5,577.06 $-247.50
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:45am ET $169.60 32 $5,427.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $173.25 32 $5,544.00 $5,693.86 +$116.80
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $171.43 33 $5,657.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 2:05pm ET $174.91 33 $5,772.03 $5,808.54 +$114.68
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 3:40pm ET $170.10 34 $5,783.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 10:25am ET $164.94 34 $5,607.96 $5,632.93 $-175.61
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:40am ET $156.27 36 $5,625.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $160.61 36 $5,781.96 $5,789.17 +$156.24
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 11:40am ET $173.60 33 $5,728.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $179.13 33 $5,911.13 $5,971.49 +$182.32
(+3.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:15am ET $183.86 32 $5,883.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 11:30am ET $187.62 32 $6,003.68 $6,091.51 +$120.01
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 12:05pm ET $178.93 34 $6,083.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 12:00pm ET $182.54 34 $6,206.53 $6,214.59 +$123.08
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 12:20pm ET $188.54 32 $6,033.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET $192.39 32 $6,156.48 $6,337.63 +$123.04
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:05am ET $184.22 34 $6,263.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $191.15 34 $6,499.10 $6,573.25 +$235.62
(+3.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $197.74 33 $6,525.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 11:50am ET $191.81 33 $6,329.73 $6,377.40 $-195.85
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 12:10pm ET $197.21 32 $6,310.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:50am ET $191.06 32 $6,113.92 $6,180.60 $-196.80
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 10:40am ET $196.13 31 $6,080.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET $200.76 31 $6,223.56 $6,324.13 +$143.53
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:25am ET $206.65 30 $6,199.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $210.95 30 $6,328.50 $6,452.98 +$128.85
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:25am ET $206.65 30 $6,199.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $199.45 30 $5,983.50 $6,236.83 $-216.15
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:55am ET $241.80 25 $6,045.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:15am ET $247.64 25 $6,191.00 $6,382.81 +$145.98
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:30am ET $257.92 24 $6,189.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $263.95 24 $6,334.80 $6,527.65 +$144.84
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:30am ET $257.92 24 $6,189.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $263.74 24 $6,329.78 $6,667.47 +$139.82
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $259.90 25 $6,497.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $248.48 25 $6,212.02 $6,381.87 $-285.60
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:25am ET $249.15 25 $6,228.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $255.98 25 $6,399.50 $6,552.74 +$170.87
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $256.95 25 $6,423.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $243.89 25 $6,097.25 $6,226.16 $-326.58
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:50am ET $239.22 26 $6,219.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:45am ET $232.04 26 $6,033.04 $6,039.48 $-186.68
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,039.48
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,960.52
Total Return: -39.61%
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