Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:44:29

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

69
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.6/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
4.3/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 69.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 69.5

30-Day Momentum

4
-5.5%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-65 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$21,250.93
Current Value
$19,870.91
Period P&L
$-1,379.97
Max Drawdown
-9.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
10 / 10
Best Trade
+3.25%
Worst Trade
-5.49%
Avg Trade Return
-0.31%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$814,973.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,379.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,379.97
Gross Return
-6.49%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $21,250.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $120.01 177 $21,241.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $115.16 177 $20,383.32 $20,392.43 $-858.45
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 1:40pm ET $117.90 172 $20,279.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:25am ET $114.07 172 $19,620.04 $19,732.81 $-659.62
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:40pm ET $114.59 172 $19,709.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:50am ET $117.08 172 $20,137.76 $20,161.09 +$428.28
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:00am ET $119.03 169 $20,116.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:35am ET $115.15 169 $19,460.35 $19,505.37 $-655.72
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET $108.54 179 $19,428.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:45am ET $111.05 179 $19,877.95 $19,954.66 +$449.29
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:50am ET $112.06 178 $19,946.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 12:25pm ET $114.31 178 $20,347.18 $20,355.16 +$400.50
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 12:50pm ET $113.49 179 $20,313.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:15am ET $115.83 179 $20,733.57 $20,774.92 +$419.76
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:00am ET $119.03 169 $20,116.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $112.49 169 $19,010.81 $19,669.66 $-1,105.26
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $115.31 170 $19,602.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $119.06 170 $20,240.71 $20,307.67 +$638.01
(+3.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:05am ET $121.88 166 $20,232.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:05am ET $124.46 166 $20,660.36 $20,735.95 +$428.28
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:40am ET $121.88 170 $20,719.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 2:50pm ET $124.39 170 $21,146.30 $21,162.65 +$426.70
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $111.75 189 $21,120.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 2:55pm ET $112.02 189 $21,171.78 $21,213.68 +$51.03
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 3:00pm ET $111.66 189 $21,103.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 3:00pm ET $110.68 189 $20,918.52 $21,028.46 $-185.22
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 3:00pm ET $111.66 189 $21,103.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $111.58 189 $21,088.62 $21,013.34 $-15.12
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $112.15 187 $20,972.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $110.34 187 $20,633.11 $20,674.40 $-338.94
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $112.15 187 $20,972.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $109.46 187 $20,469.02 $20,171.37 $-503.03
(-2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:50am ET $109.36 184 $20,122.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:50am ET $109.41 184 $20,131.44 $20,180.57 +$9.20
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $108.64 185 $20,098.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:40am ET $111.01 185 $20,536.85 $20,619.02 +$438.45
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:45am ET $110.63 186 $20,577.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $109.93 186 $20,447.91 $20,489.75 $-129.27
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET $108.51 188 $20,399.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 12:10pm ET $105.22 188 $19,781.04 $19,870.91 $-618.84
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,870.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,870.91
Total Return: +98.71%
Back to Rebel Contraire