Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:34:41

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

68
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.7/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
5.3/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 71.2/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 67.5

30-Day Momentum

0
-5.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-68 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$18,481.25
Current Value
$20,161.09
Period P&L
$1,679.89
Max Drawdown
-9.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
12 / 6
Best Trade
+2.24%
Worst Trade
-4.04%
Avg Trade Return
+0.51%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$728,815.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,679.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,679.89
Gross Return
+9.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $18,481.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:20pm ET $88.92 208 $18,494.32
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $88.77 208 $18,464.16 $18,481.20 $-30.16
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET $87.46 211 $18,454.06
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $89.32 211 $18,846.52 $18,873.66 +$392.46
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held
3 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:00am ET $92.31 204 $18,831.24
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:00am ET $94.30 204 $19,237.20 $19,279.62 +$405.96
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
4 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:25am ET $91.29 211 $19,262.19
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $93.33 211 $19,692.71 $19,710.14 +$430.52
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
5 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 12:20pm ET $97.86 201 $19,670.86
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $99.85 201 $20,069.85 $20,109.13 +$398.99
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 10:00am ET $114.36 175 $20,013.00
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 10:35am ET $116.79 175 $20,439.12 $20,535.25 +$426.12
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
35m held
7 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $117.67 174 $20,473.71
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $114.65 174 $19,949.10 $20,010.64 $-524.61
(-2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 2:30pm ET $117.81 169 $19,909.89
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 10:00am ET $120.39 169 $20,345.91 $20,446.66 +$436.02
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held
9 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:55am ET $117.87 173 $20,391.51
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:20am ET $120.27 173 $20,806.71 $20,861.86 +$415.20
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
10 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:05am ET $119.09 175 $20,840.75
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:35pm ET $121.72 175 $21,301.00 $21,322.11 +$460.25
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $126.26 168 $21,211.68
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 1:50pm ET $128.79 168 $21,636.74 $21,747.17 +$425.06
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:00am ET $125.32 173 $21,680.36
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET $121.24 173 $20,974.52 $21,041.33 $-705.84
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:05am ET $119.69 175 $20,945.89
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:35pm ET $122.19 175 $21,383.25 $21,478.69 +$437.36
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:15pm ET $121.23 177 $21,457.71
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $117.47 177 $20,793.07 $20,814.05 $-664.64
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:25pm ET $119.74 173 $20,715.02
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $122.26 173 $21,151.84 $21,250.88 +$436.83
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $120.01 177 $21,241.77
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $115.16 177 $20,383.32 $20,392.43 $-858.45
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 1:40pm ET $117.90 172 $20,279.66
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:25am ET $114.07 172 $19,620.04 $19,732.81 $-659.62
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:40pm ET $114.59 172 $19,709.48
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:50am ET $117.08 172 $20,137.76 $20,161.09 +$428.28
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,161.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,161.09
Total Return: +101.61%
Back to Rebel Contraire