Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:21:48

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

70
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
32.5/35
Total Return
17.3/25
Win Rate
9.2/15
Profit Factor
4.6/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 70.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 69.7

30-Day Momentum

23
+2.9%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.0 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-47 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$-381.97
Current Value
$22,401.23
Period P&L
$3,808.18
Max Drawdown
-12.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
14 / 7
Best Trade
+3.60%
Worst Trade
-4.15%
Avg Trade Return
+0.72%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$871,952.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,808.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,808.18
Gross Return
+0.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $-381.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:10am ET $173.17 112 $19,395.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $171.35 112 $19,191.20 $19,229.73 $-204.36
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:10am ET $173.17 112 $19,395.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $168.09 112 $18,826.08 $18,660.25 $-569.48
(-2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:55am ET $171.88 108 $18,563.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $178.00 108 $19,224.00 $19,321.21 +$660.96
(+3.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 10:35am ET $174.45 110 $19,188.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $180.49 110 $19,853.90 $19,986.16 +$664.95
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:25am ET $182.06 109 $19,844.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $186.69 109 $20,349.21 $20,490.83 +$504.67
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 11:05am ET $188.62 108 $20,370.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $193.00 108 $20,844.00 $20,963.87 +$473.04
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 11:35am ET $196.69 106 $20,849.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $190.51 106 $20,193.53 $20,308.26 $-655.61
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 3:30pm ET $188.07 107 $20,123.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $193.23 107 $20,675.62 $20,860.38 +$552.12
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
18h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $190.55 109 $20,769.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 11:15am ET $194.45 109 $21,194.51 $21,285.34 +$424.96
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 12:35pm ET $194.45 109 $21,194.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $187.62 109 $20,450.58 $20,541.41 $-743.93
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:50am ET $188.67 108 $20,376.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET $190.97 108 $20,624.76 $20,789.81 +$248.40
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:55am ET $195.67 106 $20,741.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 9:40am ET $199.63 106 $21,161.31 $21,210.10 +$420.29
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 10:45am ET $201.47 105 $21,154.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $205.51 105 $21,578.55 $21,634.30 +$424.20
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:25am ET $207.07 104 $21,535.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 10:25am ET $203.93 104 $21,209.24 $21,308.26 $-326.04
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:25am ET $207.07 104 $21,535.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $198.48 104 $20,641.40 $20,414.38 $-893.88
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $199.24 102 $20,322.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $206.42 102 $21,054.84 $21,146.74 +$732.36
(+3.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 11:45am ET $208.74 101 $21,082.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:15am ET $213.11 101 $21,523.98 $21,587.98 +$441.24
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $209.16 103 $21,543.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $215.16 103 $22,161.48 $22,205.65 +$617.67
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:05am ET $212.62 104 $22,111.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:40am ET $216.93 104 $22,561.24 $22,654.93 +$449.28
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:05am ET $215.30 105 $22,606.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:25pm ET $208.35 105 $21,876.75 $21,925.08 $-729.85
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:25am ET $203.62 107 $21,787.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 11:10am ET $208.07 107 $22,263.49 $22,401.23 +$476.15
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,401.23
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,401.23
Total Return: +124.01%
Back to Rebel Contraire