Compendium › Rebel Contraire › DIA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DIA
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 17 trades in period

+156.38%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,400.41
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$170.39
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:57:48

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.5%
ATR%
1.0%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.3/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
3.9/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 43.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 42.9

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-40 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$170.39
Current Value
$14,400.41
Period P&L
$266.45
Max Drawdown
-13.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
7 / 10
Best Trade
+3.11%
Worst Trade
-1.98%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
6.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$488,723.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$266.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$266.45
Gross Return
+156.38%
Net Return (after fees)
+156.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $170.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:40am ET $513.82 27 $13,873.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 10:15am ET $525.60 27 $14,191.20 $14,271.12 +$318.06
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:40am ET $518.80 27 $14,007.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:40am ET $523.30 27 $14,129.10 $14,392.62 +$121.50
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:40am ET $513.82 27 $13,873.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $528.81 27 $14,277.87 $14,797.35 +$404.73
(+2.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:00am ET $528.16 28 $14,788.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $526.96 28 $14,754.88 $14,763.89 $-33.46
(-0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:45am ET $524.67 28 $14,690.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $522.23 28 $14,622.44 $14,695.43 $-68.46
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 2:00pm ET $521.58 28 $14,604.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $524.71 28 $14,691.88 $14,783.07 +$87.64
(+0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:00am ET $528.16 28 $14,788.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $517.70 28 $14,495.46 $14,490.19 $-292.88
(-2.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:00am ET $521.41 27 $14,078.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $537.65 27 $14,516.55 $14,928.54 +$438.35
(+3.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:45am ET $545.95 27 $14,740.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:45am ET $539.72 27 $14,572.44 $14,760.33 $-168.21
(-1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:05am ET $538.89 27 $14,549.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $535.48 27 $14,458.09 $14,668.53 $-91.80
(-0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:20am ET $532.98 27 $14,390.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $532.67 27 $14,382.09 $14,660.02 $-8.51
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:20am ET $532.98 27 $14,390.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $535.23 27 $14,451.21 $14,720.63 +$60.61
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
7.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $533.76 27 $14,411.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $529.15 27 $14,287.05 $14,596.16 $-124.47
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $533.76 27 $14,411.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $537.01 27 $14,499.27 $14,683.91 +$87.75
(+0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $533.93 27 $14,416.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 1:25pm ET $525.20 27 $14,180.40 $14,448.07 $-235.84
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $520.66 27 $14,057.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:30pm ET $520.28 27 $14,047.56 $14,437.81 $-10.26
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $520.93 27 $14,065.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:20pm ET $519.54 27 $14,027.71 $14,400.41 $-37.40
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,400.41
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,400.41
Total Return: +44.00%
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